The picture emerging from the Q4 earnings season is one of all around strength and momentum. Not only is an above average proportion of companies beating top- and bottom-line expectations, but estimates for the current period are also materially going up. We are at the halfway mark in the Q4 reporting season for the S&P 500 index, with results from 251 index members already out and another 92 on deck to release results this week. We are not quite that further along in the reporting cycle for the small-cap S&P 600 index, with results from only 26% of the index’s members out. We have a pretty good sense of the large-cap results already, with only retail and other consumer oriented operators still to report results. We will start seeing these consumer oriented reports week, with media operators like Disney (DIS Quick Quote DIS - Free Report ) , restaurant players like Chipotle (CMG Quick Quote CMG - Free Report ) and other consumer facing players like Michael Kors on deck to report results. We will know for sure only after seeing these quarterly results, but the odds are high that these consumer companies did as good in the last quarter of the year as we have been seeing from all the other sectors this earnings season. We will discuss details of the Q4 earnings season in detail below, but I want to focus on the very impressive revisions trend that we are seeing for the current and coming quarters. Regular readers will recall that estimates for the Q4 earnings season had held up unusually better in the run up to the start of this earnings season. But what we are witnessing with estimates for the current and following quarters is extremely positive. The typical pattern over the last few years has been that estimates for the quarter will start coming down as we will get closer to the reporting season for that quarter. The opposite is the case with the current (and following) quarter(s), with estimates starting to go up in a notable way. You can clearly see this in the evolving earnings growth expectations for 2018 Q1, as depicted in the chart below.
Full-year 2018 estimates are similarly going up, as the chart below shows.
Estimates for 2018 Q1 have gone up for 15 of the 16 Zacks sectors, with the Conglomerates sector as the only whose estimates have come down. In terms of the dollar increase in Q1 estimates, the Finance sector takes the lead, followed the Energy, Technology, Medical and other sectors.Q4 Earnings Season Scorecard (as of Friday, February 2, 2018) Total earnings for the 251 S&P 500 members that have reported results already are up +16% from the same period last year on +10.5% higher revenues, with 80.5% beating EPS estimates and 78.1% beating revenue estimates. The proportion of companies beating both EPS and revenue estimates is 64.9%. To put these results in a historical context, the charts below compare the results thus far with what we had seen from the same group of 251 index members in other recent periods.
Any way you look at these results, the Q4 earnings season is on track to be very good. Not only is growth tracking above what we had seen from the same group of 251 index members, but a record proportion are beating EPS and revenue estimates. The comparison charts below highlight the very strong revenue momentum that’s coming out of the Q4 earnings season, a truly impressive performance.
Expectations for Q4 As a Whole Total Q4 earnings are expected to be up +13% from the same period last year on +7.7% higher revenues. This would follow +6.7% earnings growth in 2017 Q3 on +5.9% growth in revenues. The table below shows the summary picture for Q4, contrasted with what was actually achieved in Q3.
The chart below shows Q4 earnings growth expectations contrasted with what is expected in the following three quarters and actual results in the preceding 5 quarters. As you can see in the chart below, the growth pace is expected to pick up in Q4 after dipping in the preceding quarter and continue accelerating going forward.
The Small-Cap Scorecard For the S&P 600 index, we now have Q4 results from 156 index members or 26% of the index’s total membership. Total earnings for these 156 index members are up +12.7% from the same period last year on +10.3% higher revenues, with 67.3% beating EPS estimates and 68.6% beating revenue estimates. The charts below compare the results thus far with what we had seen from the same group of 156 index members in other recent periods.
The table below shows the blended picture, combining the actual results that have come out with estimates for the still-to-come companies, for Q4 for the small-cap index.
The chart below puts the small-cap index’s expected Q4 performance in the context of where growth has come from and where it is expected to go in the coming quarters.
Note: Sheraz Mian manages the Zacks equity research department. He is an acknowledged earnings expert whose commentaries and analyses appear on Zacks.com and in the print and electronic media. His weekly earnings related articles include Earnings Trends and Earnings Preview . He manages the Zacks Top 10 and Focus List portfolios and writes the Weekly Market Analysis article for Zacks Premium subscribers.
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Here is a list of the 482 companies including 92 S&P 500 and reporting this week.
Company Ticker Current Qtr Year-Ago Qtr Last EPS Surprise % Report Day Time SYSCO CORP SYY 0.65 0.58 1.37% Monday BTO CHURCH & DWIGHT CHD 0.5 0.44 4.26% Monday BTO BRISTOL-MYERS BMY 0.67 0.63 -2.60% Monday BTO HESS CORP HES -0.93 -1.01 17.05% Monday BTO ARCONIC INC ARNC 0.24 0.12 -7.41% Monday BTO BOOZ ALLEN HMLT BAH 0.43 0.38 4.35% Monday BTO MERCURY GENL CP MCY 0.33 0.58 42.86% Monday BTO PANASONIC CORP PCRFY N/A 0.22 92.86% Monday BTO SANDVIK AB SDVKY 0.19 0.18 N/A Monday BTO ON SEMICON CORP ON 0.37 0.32 -25.00% Monday BTO SCORPIO BULKERS SALT -0.01 -0.29 -7.14% Monday BTO CATALENT INC CTLT 0.31 0.24 20.00% Monday BTO NAVIOS MARIT LP NMM 0.01 0.09 100.00% Monday BTO RANDGOLD RSRCS GOLD 0.84 0.83 18.92% Monday BTO NATL OILWELL VR NOV -0.04 -0.15 12.50% Monday AMC EVEREST RE LTD RE 5.24 8.83 -3.59% Monday AMC LEGGETT & PLATT LEG 0.61 0.53 0.00% Monday AMC MACERICH CO MAC 1.14 1.17 -2.04% Monday AMC SKYWORKS SOLUTN SWKS 1.78 1.54 3.05% Monday AMC PREMIER INC-A PINC 0.44 0.43 -2.22% Monday AMC NUTRIEN LTD NTR 0.42 0.17 -25.00% Monday AMC BADGER METER BMI 0.23 0.21 -22.86% Monday AMC TIM PARTICP-ADR TSU N/A 0.23 12.50% Monday AMC FORTINET INC FTNT 0.15 0.18 60.00% Monday AMC REGAL BELOIT RBC 1.14 1.04 -0.72% Monday AMC GW PHARMA-ADR GWPH -2.03 -0.77 -26.01% Monday AMC CAPSTONE TURBIN CPST -0.06 -0.33 0.00% Monday AMC HESS MIDSTREAM HESM 0.28 N/A 12.50% Monday AMC APPTIO CL A APTI -0.21 -0.21 38.10% Monday AMC BANCO ITAU -ADR ITUB 0.29 0.27 0.00% Monday AMC MTS SYSTEMS MTSC 0.4 0.55 25.71% Monday AMC PHIBRO ANIMAL PAHC 0.39 0.39 2.70% Monday AMC CLEARWATER PAPR CLW 0.8 0.82 0.00% Monday AMC GLADSTONE CAPTL GLAD 0.21 0.21 0.00% Monday AMC ALBANY INTL A AIN 0.4 0.36 N/A Monday AMC CREDICORP LTD BAP 3.41 3.3 2.91% Monday AMC CAPITAL SW CORP CSWC 0.26 0.21 0.00% Monday AMC QUOTIENT LTD QTNT -0.55 -1.06 1.69% Monday AMC RGC RES INC RGCO 0.34 0.31 N/A Monday AMC OCLARO INC OCLR 0.11 0.19 5.88% Monday AMC CIRRUS LOGIC CRUS 1.63 1.76 17.31% Monday AMC FABRINET FN 0.44 0.67 -11.29% Monday AMC SIMPSON MFG INC SSD 0.37 0.36 -4.84% Monday AMC TELECOM ITA-ADR TI N/A N/A N/A Monday N/A SUZUKI MOTOR CP SZKMY 3.77 2.76 41.08% Monday N/A MITSUBIS CP-ADR MSBHY N/A 2.21 N/A Monday N/A CENTENE CORP CNC 0.94 1.19 8.00% Tuesday BTO BECTON DICKINSO BDX 2.4 2.33 0.84% Tuesday BTO S&P GLOBAL INC SPGI 1.63 1.28 12.50% Tuesday BTO GARTNER INC -A IT 1.28 0.97 25.00% Tuesday BTO FIDELITY NAT IN FIS 1.34 1.14 11.32% Tuesday BTO TAPESTRY INC TPR 0.87 0.75 16.67% Tuesday BTO LABORATORY CP LH 2.37 2.15 3.36% Tuesday BTO CUMMINS INC CMI 2.64 2.25 9.72% Tuesday BTO AMERISOURCEBRGN ABC 1.35 1.36 0.76% Tuesday BTO EMERSON ELEC CO EMR 0.54 0.49 0.00% Tuesday BTO GENERAL MOTORS GM 1.32 1.28 23.36% Tuesday BTO TRANSDIGM GROUP TDG 2.64 2.45 6.29% Tuesday BTO ALLERGAN PLC AGN 4.74 3.9 2.22% Tuesday BTO ARCHER DANIELS ADM 0.69 0.75 -18.18% Tuesday BTO COLFAX CORP CFX 0.45 0.46 0.00% Tuesday BTO GRAPHIC PKG HLD GPK 0.19 0.14 0.00% Tuesday BTO HAMILTON LANE HLNE 0.29 N/A 3.85% Tuesday BTO BP PLC BP 0.66 0.13 14.00% Tuesday BTO DUNKIN BRANDS DNKN 0.63 0.64 -3.17% Tuesday BTO SPX FLOW INC FLOW 0.5 0.46 -8.70% Tuesday BTO RBC BEARINGS ROLL 0.86 0.73 -2.35% Tuesday BTO JANUS HENDERSON JHG 0.66 0.42 -8.20% Tuesday BTO VISHAY INTERTEC VSH 0.38 0.18 10.53% Tuesday BTO GLATFELTER GLT 0.3 0.4 28.21% Tuesday BTO SOUTHSIDE BANCS SBSI 0.5 0.42 -9.26% Tuesday BTO LENNOX INTL INC LII 1.67 1.5 3.69% Tuesday BTO ARAMARK HOLDING ARMK 0.51 0.51 -3.85% Tuesday BTO AGCO CORP AGCO 1.11 0.84 9.72% Tuesday BTO SPIRIT AIRLINES SAVE 0.71 0.77 4.44% Tuesday BTO WELLCARE HEALTH WCG 0.17 1.03 114.74% Tuesday BTO ASBURY AUTO GRP ABG 1.6 1.56 -5.73% Tuesday BTO OAKTREE CAP GRP OAK 0.55 0.91 19.64% Tuesday BTO BIO-TECHNE CP TECH 0.85 0.74 0.00% Tuesday BTO LUMENTUM HLDGS LITE 1 0.43 -21.95% Tuesday BTO VERSUM MATERLS VSM 0.5 0.47 -2.08% Tuesday BTO AECOM ACM 0.55 0.53 4.23% Tuesday BTO ARROW ELECTRONI ARW 2.3 2 0.00% Tuesday BTO HAEMONETICS CP HAE 0.44 0.43 17.07% Tuesday BTO CONSOL COAL RES CCR 0.45 0.41 -83.33% Tuesday BTO COLUMBUS MCKINN CMCO 0.31 0.22 13.33% Tuesday BTO EMCORE CORP EMKR 0.04 0.1 -18.18% Tuesday BTO GENERAL FINANCE GFN -0.04 -0.02 33.33% Tuesday BTO MULTI-COLOR LABL 0.72 0.7 -4.50% Tuesday BTO ALLOT COMM LTD ALLT -0.06 0 25.00% Tuesday BTO ASSA ABLOY AB ASAZY N/A 0.1 0.00% Tuesday BTO DLH HOLDINGS CP DLHC 0.03 0.03 -11.11% Tuesday BTO IRADIMED CORP IRMD 0.02 0.1 107.14% Tuesday BTO ARRAY BIOPHARMA ARRY -0.23 -0.14 0.00% Tuesday BTO ARMADA HOFFLER AHH 0.24 0.25 4.17% Tuesday BTO AXALTA COAT SYS AXTA 0.32 0.28 13.04% Tuesday BTO LIBERTY PPTY TR LPT 0.65 0.41 4.76% Tuesday BTO ENTEGRIS INC ENTG 0.37 0.24 17.65% Tuesday BTO MEDLEY CAPITAL MCC 0.16 0.19 0.00% Tuesday BTO ATKORE INTL GRP ATKR 0.32 0.26 -6.06% Tuesday BTO CEVA INC CEVA 0.13 0.25 50.00% Tuesday BTO SWEDBANK AB-ADR SWDBY 0.5 0.41 N/A Tuesday BTO PIONEER NAT RES PXD 0.75 0.49 60.00% Tuesday AMC CHIPOTLE MEXICN CMG 1.33 0.55 -14.74% Tuesday AMC ANADARKO PETROL APC 0.03 -0.5 -37.50% Tuesday AMC CERNER CORP CERN 0.57 0.57 -1.72% Tuesday AMC AKAMAI TECH AKAM 0.45 0.55 -2.38% Tuesday AMC UDR INC UDR 0.48 0.46 0.00% Tuesday AMC DISNEY WALT DIS 1.62 1.55 -4.46% Tuesday AMC MICROCHIP TECH MCHP 1.27 1 7.03% Tuesday AMC GILEAD SCIENCES GILD 1.65 2.64 9.85% Tuesday AMC ARTISAN PTNR AM APAM 0.68 0.42 3.17% Tuesday AMC ARLINGTON ASSET AI 0.2 -1.79 129.73% Tuesday AMC HORACE MANN EDS HMN 0.56 0.52 213.64% Tuesday AMC NETGEAR INC NTGR 0.54 0.76 23.21% Tuesday AMC ULTIMATE SOFTWR ULTI 0.12 0.43 54.55% Tuesday AMC KFORCE INC KFRC 0.43 0.36 0.00% Tuesday AMC MA-COM TECH SOL MTSI 0 0.4 16.67% Tuesday AMC OLIN CORP OLN 0.42 0.31 0.00% Tuesday AMC GENWORTH FINL GNW 0.2 -0.27 -28.57% Tuesday AMC GREENHILL & CO GHL -0.93 0.74 47.06% Tuesday AMC PROOFPOINT INC PFPT -0.23 -0.33 -30.43% Tuesday AMC SNAP INC SNAP -0.33 N/A -3.23% Tuesday AMC PLAINS ALL AMER PAA 0.42 0.14 -4.55% Tuesday AMC HIGHWOODS PPTYS HIW 0.83 0.82 1.18% Tuesday AMC MYRIAD GENETICS MYGN 0.24 0.26 23.81% Tuesday AMC SEATTLE GENETIC SGEN -0.44 -0.39 53.66% Tuesday AMC HEALTHEQUITY HQY 0.06 0.07 30.77% Tuesday AMC ZENDESK INC ZEN -0.27 -0.24 7.14% Tuesday AMC CABOT CORP CBT 0.78 0.84 -2.15% Tuesday AMC OWENS-ILLINOIS OI 0.54 0.5 5.48% Tuesday AMC SPS COMMERCE SPSC 0.12 0.17 27.27% Tuesday AMC VIPER ENERGY VNOM 0.28 0.19 9.09% Tuesday AMC BLACKBAUD INC BLKB 0.44 0.5 16.67% Tuesday AMC JACK HENRY ASSC JKHY 0.8 0.75 -3.80% Tuesday AMC PAYCOM SOFTWARE PAYC 0.15 0.15 166.67% Tuesday AMC MATCH GROUP INC MTCH 0.25 0.24 -12.50% Tuesday AMC NEW RELIC INC NEWR -0.28 -0.26 10.71% Tuesday AMC AXCELIS TECH ACLS 0.39 0.13 35.71% Tuesday AMC ADTELUM GBL EDU ATGE 0.76 0.85 -37.50% Tuesday AMC GLADSTONE INVES GAIN 0.18 0.17 5.88% Tuesday AMC MANHATTAN ASOC MANH 0.42 0.42 4.35% Tuesday AMC NANOMETRICS INC NANO 0.46 0.33 4.76% Tuesday AMC SCANSOURCE INC SCSC 0.79 0.75 -2.56% Tuesday AMC SILICON MOTION SIMO 0.48 0.79 4.26% Tuesday AMC TWO HARBORS INV TWO 0.47 0.48 -3.77% Tuesday AMC J2 GLOBAL INC JCOM 1.69 1.47 -3.05% Tuesday AMC MARKEL CORP MKL 8.55 9.11 -4.38% Tuesday AMC MODEL N INC MODN -0.18 -0.21 0.00% Tuesday AMC BEAZER HOMES BZH 0.04 -0.04 86.79% Tuesday AMC ESCO TECH INC ESE 0.33 0.41 5.33% Tuesday AMC FARMER BROS CO FARM 0.18 0.12 400.00% Tuesday AMC MDU RESOURCES MDU 0.34 0.33 -8.00% Tuesday AMC MAGNACHIP SEMI MX 0.24 -1.42 12.50% Tuesday AMC PDVWIRELESS INC PDVW -0.61 -0.51 9.52% Tuesday AMC PROS HOLDINGS PRO -0.3 -0.37 8.33% Tuesday AMC PZENA INVESTMNT PZN 0.17 0.15 13.33% Tuesday AMC MILLICOM INTL MIICF N/A 0.39 N/A Tuesday AMC PLAINS GP HLDGS PAGP 0.4 -0.08 -89.66% Tuesday AMC ATMOS ENERGY CP ATO 1.13 1.08 1.52% Tuesday AMC EXTREME NETWRKS EXTR 0.09 0.09 20.00% Tuesday AMC CONTAINER STORE TCS 0.14 0.11 71.43% Tuesday AMC CUBIC CORP CUB -0.01 -0.11 250.00% Tuesday AMC ACXIOM CORP ACXM 0.11 0.16 -50.00% Tuesday AMC Omnicom Group OMC 1.54 1.47 2.73% Tuesday N/A MICHAEL KORS KORS 1.29 1.64 60.24% Wednesday BTO EXELON CORP EXC 0.62 0.44 -1.16% Wednesday BTO INTERCONTNTLEXC ICE 0.72 0.71 1.41% Wednesday BTO JACOBS ENGIN GR JEC 0.67 0.68 19.51% Wednesday BTO HUMANA INC NEW HUM 2 2.09 3.67% Wednesday BTO COGNIZANT TECH CTSH 0.88 0.76 9.41% Wednesday BTO HASBRO INC HAS 1.82 1.64 8.29% Wednesday BTO XCEL ENERGY INC XEL 0.43 0.45 5.43% Wednesday BTO BALL CORP BLL 0.52 0.44 -11.86% Wednesday BTO GGP INC GGP 0.47 0.43 0.00% Wednesday BTO PEABODY ENERGY BTU 1.4 N/A 8.76% Wednesday BTO STATOIL ASA-ADR STO 0.34 -0.02 13.64% Wednesday BTO TAYLOR MORRISON TMHC 0.7 0.65 9.76% Wednesday BTO PERFORMANCE FG PFGC 0.37 0.29 3.85% Wednesday BTO PJT PARTNERS PJT 0.67 0.7 -37.50% Wednesday BTO ARDMORE SHIPPIN ASC -0.15 -0.11 0.00% Wednesday BTO BERRY GLOBL GRP BERY 0.65 0.5 10.13% Wednesday BTO APOLLO INV CP AINV 0.16 0.17 0.00% Wednesday BTO CARLYLE GROUP CG 0.56 0.02 16.67% Wednesday BTO HAIN CELESTIAL HAIN 0.43 0.32 0.00% Wednesday BTO RADWARE LTD RDWR 0 -0.02 25.00% Wednesday BTO SANOFI-AVENTIS SNY 0.68 0.67 0.00% Wednesday BTO JONES LANG LASL JLL 4.23 3.95 26.45% Wednesday BTO STERIS PLC STE 1.07 0.98 -1.05% Wednesday BTO TIMKEN CO TKR 0.67 0.47 4.41% Wednesday BTO CAESARSTONE LTD CSTE 0.28 0.44 -64.15% Wednesday BTO AU OPTRONCS-ADR AUO 0.14 0.29 3.45% Wednesday BTO BRINKS CO THE BCO 1.02 0.87 10.67% Wednesday BTO CAMTEK LIMITED CAMT 0.1 0.07 0.00% Wednesday BTO DHI GROUP INC DHX 0.04 0.11 16.67% Wednesday BTO FIRSTSERVICE CP FSV 0.48 0.19 -16.00% Wednesday BTO SWISSCOM AG ADR SCMWY 0.64 0.78 N/A Wednesday BTO WALKER & DUNLOP WD 1 1.16 12.77% Wednesday BTO CARLSBERG A/S CABGY N/A N/A N/A Wednesday BTO RIO TINTO-ADR RIO N/A N/A N/A Wednesday BTO SOFTBANK CP SFTBY N/A 0.39 N/A Wednesday BTO CDW CORP CDW 0.93 0.81 1.96% Wednesday BTO TRIVAGO NV ADS TRVG -0.02 N/A 25.00% Wednesday BTO EURONET WORLDWD EEFT 1.06 0.93 0.65% Wednesday BTO GN STORE NORD GNNDY N/A 1.51 N/A Wednesday BTO NATUS MEDICAL BABY 0.62 0.51 5.26% Wednesday BTO BROOKFLD RENWBL BEP 0.01 -0.16 -100.00% Wednesday BTO IEC ELECTRS NEW IEC 0.04 -0.09 -50.00% Wednesday BTO ALLSTATE CORP ALL 1.57 2.17 81.82% Wednesday AMC O REILLY AUTO ORLY 2.78 2.59 2.22% Wednesday AMC PRUDENTIAL FINL PRU 2.6 2.46 11.07% Wednesday AMC TORCHMARK CORP TMK 1.23 1.16 2.50% Wednesday AMC CINCINNATI FINL CINF 0.86 0.75 9.43% Wednesday AMC ESSEX PPTY TR ESS 3.01 2.81 0.68% Wednesday AMC FISERV INC FISV 1.37 1.16 -2.31% Wednesday AMC TWENTY-FST CF-A FOXA 0.41 0.53 2.08% Wednesday AMC CSRA INC CSRA 0.47 0.48 -2.13% Wednesday AMC AMER EQUITY INV AEL 0.67 0.63 52.38% Wednesday AMC PRIMERICA INC PRI 1.44 1.19 6.57% Wednesday AMC CALLAWAY GOLF ELY -0.18 -0.18 200.00% Wednesday AMC FORWARD AIR CRP FWRD 0.62 0.58 3.45% Wednesday AMC IROBOT CORP IRBT 0.25 0.49 36.36% Wednesday AMC KAPSTONE PAPER KS 0.37 0.23 -9.30% Wednesday AMC RAYONIER INC RYN 0.09 0.05 280.00% Wednesday AMC SUNCOR ENERGY SU 0.59 0.29 57.69% Wednesday AMC CENTRAL GARDEN CENT 0.15 0.12 -20.00% Wednesday AMC ICHOR HOLDINGS ICHR 0.68 0.45 -1.64% Wednesday AMC YELP INC YELP 0.05 0.1 1000.00% Wednesday AMC XPO LOGISTICS XPO 0.43 0.24 3.51% Wednesday AMC ZAYO GROUP HLDG ZAYO 0.13 0.08 -8.33% Wednesday AMC CROWN HLDGS INC CCK 0.79 0.71 0.00% Wednesday AMC VALVOLINE INC VVV 0.28 0.35 -2.94% Wednesday AMC BLACK KNIGHT BKI 0.34 0.27 2.94% Wednesday AMC PIEDMONT OFFICE PDM 0.42 0.44 0.00% Wednesday AMC PENNANTPARK INV PNNT 0.18 0.21 -10.53% Wednesday AMC ZYNGA INC ZNGA 0.01 -0.04 100.00% Wednesday AMC FORESCOUT TECH FSCT -0.33 N/A 12.03% Wednesday AMC GOLUB CAPITAL GBDC 0.32 0.32 0.00% Wednesday AMC LANNETT INC LCI 0.86 0.92 15.38% Wednesday AMC MANULIFE FINL MFC 0.47 0.47 7.50% Wednesday AMC DIGITAL TURBINE APPS -0.02 -0.08 0.00% Wednesday AMC CARDIOVASCLR SY CSII -0.04 0.03 14.29% Wednesday AMC ECHO GLOBAL LOG ECHO 0.14 0.03 64.29% Wednesday AMC HORNBECK OFFSHR HOS -0.73 -0.53 33.77% Wednesday AMC ITERIS INC ITI -0.04 -0.04 -200.00% Wednesday AMC KNOWLES CORP KN 0.29 0.32 15.79% Wednesday AMC LIMELIGHT NETWK LLNW -0.02 -0.01 66.67% Wednesday AMC MONMOUTH RE CLA MNR 0.21 0.19 0.00% Wednesday AMC TRUEBLUE INC TBI 0.47 0.56 3.45% Wednesday AMC TAKE-TWO INTER TTWO 0.84 0.71 40.74% Wednesday AMC ALPHA&OMEGA SEM AOSL 0.16 0.11 -5.00% Wednesday AMC CM FINANCE INC CMFN 0.25 0.36 -12.00% Wednesday AMC COHERENT INC COHR 3.54 2.24 4.68% Wednesday AMC ENERSYS INC ENS 1.14 1.18 0.96% Wednesday AMC ENANTA PHARMA ENTA 0.04 -0.26 -4.12% Wednesday AMC EVOLUTION PETRO EPM 0.2 0.07 20.00% Wednesday AMC FLOWERS FOODS FLO 0.14 0.16 15.00% Wednesday AMC IAC/INTERACTIV IAC 0.64 1.21 -165.22% Wednesday AMC JUST ENERGY GRP JE 0.13 0.73 -87.50% Wednesday AMC MOELIS & CO MC 0.45 0.66 35.71% Wednesday AMC MANNING&NAPIER MN 0.09 0.16 0.00% Wednesday AMC ORASURE TECH OSUR 0.11 0.13 0.00% Wednesday AMC EPLUS INC PLUS 0.9 0.95 0.00% Wednesday AMC PROSPECT CAP CP PSEC 0.18 0.24 -5.26% Wednesday AMC ROYAL GOLD INC RGLD 0.42 0.36 18.92% Wednesday AMC SYNAPTICS INC SYNA 0.69 1.06 -5.17% Wednesday AMC CSG SYS INTL CSGS 0.56 0.46 1.92% Wednesday AMC CSS INDS INC CSS 1.37 1.26 N/A Wednesday AMC DIODES INC DIOD 0.4 0.15 2.27% Wednesday AMC FORRESTER RESH FORR 0.21 0.31 46.67% Wednesday AMC GRANITE PT MTGE GPMT 0.36 N/A -17.65% Wednesday AMC INVACARE CORP IVC N/A -0.46 4.65% Wednesday AMC MATRIX SERVICE MTRX 0.16 0.2 180.00% Wednesday AMC SONOMA PHARMACT SNOA -0.63 0.18 10.67% Wednesday AMC TECHTARGET TTGT 0.08 0 40.00% Wednesday AMC WESTELL TECH-A WSTL 0.03 0 350.00% Wednesday AMC INFINERA CORP INFN -0.21 -0.18 13.04% Wednesday AMC INPHI CORP IPHI 0.08 0.35 0.00% Wednesday AMC NXP SEMICONDUCT NXPI 1.61 1.71 -14.77% Wednesday AMC COUSIN PROP INC CUZ 0.14 0.15 0.00% Wednesday AMC CONFORMIS INC CFMS -0.31 -0.37 6.45% Wednesday AMC GREEN PLAINS GPRE -0.11 0.47 -500.00% Wednesday AMC ANGI HOMESVCS ANGI -0.03 0.15 -116.67% Wednesday AMC COEUR MINING CDE 0.05 -0.03 -433.33% Wednesday AMC TTM TECHNOLOGIE TTMI 0.4 0.56 -9.52% Wednesday AMC YUM CHINA HLDGS YUMC 0.17 0.17 -5.45% Wednesday AMC TESLA INC TSLA -3.75 -1.25 -16.18% Wednesday AMC XPLORE TECH CP XPLR 0.02 0.02 -100.00% Wednesday AMC AXIS CAP HLDGS AXS 0.25 1.14 -0.19% Wednesday AMC FORMFACTOR INC FORM 0.23 0.16 -3.45% Wednesday AMC GREEN PLAIN PTR GPP 0.47 0.5 -8.16% Wednesday AMC RADISYS CORP RSYS -0.06 0.01 -133.33% Wednesday AMC NETEASE INC NTES 1.52 4.01 7.52% Wednesday AMC ASPEN INS HLDGS AHL -3.46 -0.34 5.72% Wednesday AMC CONSOL TOMOKA CTO 0.47 0.9 -18.18% Wednesday AMC GLAXOSMITHKLINE GSK 0.65 0.65 1.19% Wednesday N/A NOVOZYMES A/S NVZMY 0.46 0.39 -7.69% Wednesday N/A SAPPI LTD -ADR SPPJY N/A 0.16 N/A Wednesday N/A MASCO MAS 0.43 0.33 -5.66% Thursday BTO CARDINAL HEALTH CAH 1.14 1.34 7.92% Thursday BTO CBRE GROUP INC CBG 0.93 0.93 18.52% Thursday BTO CVS HEALTH CORP CVS 1.88 1.71 0.67% Thursday BTO VIACOM INC-B VIAB 0.98 1.04 -9.41% Thursday BTO YUM! BRANDS INC YUM 0.8 0.79 3.03% Thursday BTO ALEXION PHARMA ALXN 1.09 1.1 13.27% Thursday BTO BORG WARNER INC BWA 1.02 0.85 9.20% Thursday BTO COTY INC COTY 0.24 0.3 42.86% Thursday BTO KELLOGG CO K 0.96 0.92 12.90% Thursday BTO PHILIP MORRIS PM 1.36 1.1 -8.63% Thursday BTO SEALED AIR CORP SEE 0.57 0.76 0.00% Thursday BTO SNAP-ON INC SNA 2.66 2.47 0.82% Thursday BTO GOODYEAR TIRE GT 0.75 0.95 5.97% Thursday BTO TYSON FOODS A TSN 1.51 1.59 3.62% Thursday BTO NIELSEN HOLDNGS NLSN 0.75 0.44 -6.25% Thursday BTO REGENERON PHARM REGN 4.18 2.19 -12.40% Thursday BTO WILLIS TWRS WAT WLTW 2.11 1.88 -0.88% Thursday BTO HANESBRANDS INC HBI 0.52 0.53 0.00% Thursday BTO OLD DOMINION FL ODFL 1.11 0.83 7.83% Thursday BTO MEDNAX INC MD 0.78 0.95 5.13% Thursday BTO GROUP 1 AUTO GPI 1.87 1.74 21.20% Thursday BTO FIRST AMER FINL FAF 0.91 0.92 12.00% Thursday BTO VIRTU FINL INC VIRT 0.13 0.24 60.00% Thursday BTO GRUBHUB INC GRUB 0.24 0.19 22.22% Thursday BTO SALLY BEAUTY CO SBH 0.43 0.39 -2.17% Thursday BTO TWITTER INC TWTR 0.06 -0.03 166.67% Thursday BTO GENESEE & WYO GWR 0.75 0.99 -2.41% Thursday BTO PENSKE AUTO GRP PAG 1 0.91 2.80% Thursday BTO PENN NATL GAMNG PENN 0.19 0.05 22.73% Thursday BTO BCE INC BCE 0.59 0.57 4.48% Thursday BTO DOMTAR CORP UFS 0.69 0.75 41.10% Thursday BTO WORLD WRESTLING WWE 0.2 0.1 40.00% Thursday BTO BROADRIDGE FINL BR 0.58 0.39 31.71% Thursday BTO NUSTAR GP HLDGS NSH 0.29 0.14 -23.53% Thursday BTO NY TIMES A NYT 0.3 0.3 44.44% Thursday BTO VOESTALPINE AG VLPNY N/A 0.13 N/A Thursday BTO CORESITE REALTY COR 1.14 1.06 0.00% Thursday BTO PATTERSON-UTI PTEN -0.08 -0.53 5.88% Thursday BTO MEDICAL PPTYS MPW 0.35 0.31 6.45% Thursday BTO ALNYLAM PHARMA ALNY -1.38 -1.32 -8.94% Thursday BTO KKR & CO LP KKR 0.51 0.4 -16.28% Thursday BTO MEDIDATA SOLUTN MDSO 0.18 0.23 15.79% Thursday BTO MAXIMUS INC MMS 0.77 0.71 5.19% Thursday BTO WATSCO INC WSO 1 0.81 -6.19% Thursday BTO EDGEWELL PERSNL EPC 0.57 0.66 0.00% Thursday BTO TERADATA CORP TDC 0.4 0.57 83.33% Thursday BTO VISTA OUTDOOR VSTO 0.05 0.62 25.93% Thursday BTO CANADA GOOSE HD GOOS 0.36 N/A 43.75% Thursday BTO GRACE (WR) NEW GRA 0.96 0.95 11.11% Thursday BTO NUSTAR ENERGY NS 0.17 -0.31 -44.44% Thursday BTO THOMSON REUTERS TRI 0.57 0.6 17.24% Thursday BTO USA TECH INC USAT 0.01 0.01 100.00% Thursday BTO SPECTRUM BRANDS SPB 1.27 1.21 -7.53% Thursday BTO VIRTUSA CORP VRTU 0.3 0.27 -8.33% Thursday BTO ABB LTD-ADR ABB 0.25 0.33 13.33% Thursday BTO CSW INDUSTRIALS CSWI 0.29 0.26 1.82% Thursday BTO DSV A/S UNS ADR DSDVY 0.37 N/A -2.50% Thursday BTO HOLLYSYS AUTOMT HOLI 0.39 0.17 12.50% Thursday BTO LCI INDUSTRIES LCII 1.11 1.05 -9.35% Thursday BTO PROTO LABS INC PRLB 0.48 0.35 6.52% Thursday BTO RMR GROUP INC RMR 0.49 0.45 37.50% Thursday BTO STEWART INFO SV STC N/A 0.71 -35.21% Thursday BTO THERMON GROUP THR 0.16 0.16 0.00% Thursday BTO SOCIETE GENL FR SCGLY N/A 0.15 N/A Thursday BTO THOMSON REUT-TS T.TRI 0.71 0.8 16.44% Thursday BTO TEVA PHARM ADR TEVA 0.77 1.36 -7.77% Thursday BTO TELUS CORP TU 0.44 0.4 -1.89% Thursday BTO NJ RESOURCES NJR 0.59 0.46 -16.67% Thursday BTO OAKTREE SPEC LD OCSL 0.1 0.16 -38.46% Thursday BTO SUBURB PROPANE SPH 0.87 0.56 7.78% Thursday BTO GAMING AND LEIS GLPI 0.76 0.79 2.60% Thursday BTO MAKEMYTRIP LTD MMYT -0.31 -0.15 22.54% Thursday BTO MANCHESTER UTD MANU 0.13 0.13 266.67% Thursday BTO SMITH & NEPHEW SNN 0.93 N/A N/A Thursday BTO SURMODICS SRDX -0.05 0.19 1900.00% Thursday BTO UBIQUITI NETWRK UBNT 0.7 0.71 21.05% Thursday BTO ADV DRAINAG SYS WMS 0.17 0.14 -12.12% Thursday BTO NVIDIA CORP NVDA 1.16 0.99 41.49% Thursday AMC DXC TECHNOLOGY DXC 1.99 0.81 26.14% Thursday AMC FORTIVE CORP FTV 0.78 0.68 5.48% Thursday AMC HOLOGIC INC HOLX 0.49 0.52 2.04% Thursday AMC REGENCY CTRS CP REG 0.91 0.86 4.40% Thursday AMC MOHAWK INDS INC MHK 3.33 3.26 0.27% Thursday AMC ACTIVISION BLZD ATVI 0.89 0.86 -4.44% Thursday AMC AMER INTL GRP AIG 0.87 0.84 -46.99% Thursday AMC METTLER-TOLEDO MTD 5.94 5.28 1.40% Thursday AMC EXPEDIA INC EXPE 0.93 0.97 11.16% Thursday AMC REPUBLIC SVCS RSG 0.57 0.57 6.35% Thursday AMC ASSURANT INC AIZ 1.58 0.46 21.79% Thursday AMC VERISIGN INC VRSN 0.89 0.84 -1.11% Thursday AMC HARTFORD FIN SV HIG 0.74 1.08 1.69% Thursday AMC NEWS CORP NEW-A NWSA 0.19 0.19 250.00% Thursday AMC NUANCE COMM INC NUAN 0.17 0.21 80.00% Thursday AMC BEACON ROOFING BECN 0.55 0.44 -1.06% Thursday AMC HUB GROUP INC-A HUBG 0.52 0.55 15.00% Thursday AMC SKECHERS USA-A SKX 0.13 0.04 37.21% Thursday AMC FBL FINL GRP-A FFG 1.05 1.02 -8.04% Thursday AMC KNOLL INC KNL 0.43 0.44 11.43% Thursday AMC TRIMBLE INC TRMB 0.31 0.28 9.38% Thursday AMC BRUKER CORP BRKR 0.49 0.46 7.41% Thursday AMC COLUMBIA SPORTS COLM 1.11 1.2 8.70% Thursday AMC PAYLOCITY HLDG PCTY -0.01 -0.02 200.00% Thursday AMC LIONS GATE ETMT LGF.A 0.21 0.11 138.89% Thursday AMC MANITOWOC INC MTW -0.06 -0.92 325.00% Thursday AMC FORUM ENRG TECH FET -0.03 -0.16 0.00% Thursday AMC FLEETCOR TECH FLT 2.15 1.78 0.50% Thursday AMC VOCERA COMM INC VCRA -0.01 -0.13 0.00% Thursday AMC CALLIDUS SOFTWR CALD 0 -0.06 60.00% Thursday AMC MCBC HOLDINGS MCFT 0.32 0.25 0.00% Thursday AMC CEDAR SHOPN CTR CDR 0.14 0.14 7.69% Thursday AMC ELLIE MAE INC ELLI 0.07 0.34 60.87% Thursday AMC WEB.COM GROUP WEB 0.2 0.62 -20.00% Thursday AMC FIREEYE INC FEYE -0.2 -0.22 6.67% Thursday AMC MOBILE IRON INC MOBL -0.11 -0.12 0.00% Thursday AMC NCR CORP-NEW NCR 0.86 1.07 3.33% Thursday AMC NEWPARK RESOUR NR 0.03 -0.06 0.00% Thursday AMC ZILLOW GROUP ZG 0.04 0.05 150.00% Thursday AMC EGAIN CORP EGAN -0.04 -0.04 66.67% Thursday AMC ELEVATE CREDIT ELVT 0.13 N/A 260.00% Thursday AMC GLU MOBILE INC GLUU -0.06 -0.13 -50.00% Thursday AMC HORTONWORKS INC HDP -0.63 -0.89 16.25% Thursday AMC MONOLITHIC PWR MPWR 0.53 0.4 7.84% Thursday AMC ASHFORD HOSP PR AHP 0.3 0.34 0.00% Thursday AMC BRIGHT HORZN FS BFAM 0.63 0.52 1.75% Thursday AMC CORIUM INTRNTNL CORI -0.43 -0.46 16.28% Thursday AMC DETERMINE INC DTRM -0.17 -0.13 6.67% Thursday AMC AEROHIVE NETWRK HIVE -0.09 -0.14 7.69% Thursday AMC HNI CORP HNI 0.44 0.82 1.23% Thursday AMC ORGANOVO HLDGS ONVO -0.1 -0.09 10.00% Thursday AMC PENNYMAC FIN SV PFSI 0.68 1 9.23% Thursday AMC PENNYMAC MORTGE PMT 0.34 0.44 -52.38% Thursday AMC RADIANT LOGIST RLGT 0.05 0.1 0.00% Thursday AMC VIAD CORP VVI -0.3 -0.11 0.76% Thursday AMC AQUANTIA CORP AQ -0.03 N/A N/A Thursday AMC BRISTOW GROUP BRS -0.72 -0.29 65.26% Thursday AMC ELLINGTON RESID EARN 0.43 0.47 -4.44% Thursday AMC IMPERVA INC IMPV -0.13 -0.3 94.44% Thursday AMC MAM SOFTWARE GP MAMS 0.02 0.02 12.50% Thursday AMC PARK CITY GRP PCYG 0.06 0.06 -50.00% Thursday AMC PRESIDIO INC PSDO 0.13 N/A 31.25% Thursday AMC SILVERCORP METL SVM 0.06 0.08 16.67% Thursday AMC SENSIENT TECH SXT 0.84 0.8 3.49% Thursday AMC NET 1 UEPS TECH UEPS 0.39 0.41 20.59% Thursday AMC VIASAT INC VSAT -0.15 0.12 67.86% Thursday AMC LOREAL CO-ADR LRLCY N/A N/A N/A Thursday AMC TAUBMAN CENTERS TCO 1.02 1.01 -6.74% Thursday AMC CBL&ASSOC PPTYS CBL 0.58 0.68 -7.41% Thursday AMC COMPUTER PRGRMS CPSI 0.37 0.29 -17.50% Thursday AMC CORP OFFICE PTY OFC 0.53 0.51 1.92% Thursday AMC A10 NETWORKS ATEN -0.03 -0.03 33.33% Thursday AMC WESCO AIRCRAFT WAIR 0.12 0.19 -50.00% Thursday AMC PENNANTPARK FRC PFLT 0.25 0.26 -5.88% Thursday AMC QUANTUM CP-DSSG QTM 0.11 0.16 -1800.00% Thursday AMC CARLISLE COS IN CSL 0.99 1.32 3.79% Thursday AMC CIVITAS SOLUTNS CIVI 0.16 0.11 8.70% Thursday AMC CONTROL4 CORP CTRL 0.23 0.21 60.00% Thursday AMC SIERRA WIRELESS SWIR 0.19 0.61 -38.46% Thursday AMC UNISYS UIS 0.7 0.6 -21.62% Thursday AMC TOTAL FINA SA TOT 1.06 0.96 5.05% Thursday N/A NISSAN ADR NSANY 0.47 0.62 18.18% Thursday N/A INTERNET INIT J IIJI N/A 0.08 N/A Thursday N/A SHISEIDO CO-ADR SSDOY N/A -0.05 N/A Thursday N/A SUMITOMO CORP SSUMY N/A 0.34 N/A Thursday N/A ZURICH INSUR GP ZURVY N/A 0.46 N/A Thursday N/A DTE Energy DTE 1.2 0.81 -3.27% Thursday N/A CBOE HOLDINGS CBOE 0.88 0.63 1.14% Friday BTO MOODYS CORP MCO 1.43 1.23 8.57% Friday BTO PG&E CORP PCG 0.69 1.33 19.15% Friday BTO VENTAS INC VTR 1.03 1.03 0.00% Friday BTO MALIBU BOATS-A MBUU 0.47 0.38 29.03% Friday BTO ESSENT GROUP ESNT 0.78 0.68 9.33% Friday BTO STORA ENSO -ADR SEOAY N/A 0.18 33.33% Friday BTO TENNECO INC TEN 1.64 1.67 5.03% Friday BTO IMMUNOGEN INC IMGN -0.07 -0.39 -32.14% Friday BTO NGL ENERGY PART NGL 0.19 -0.07 -130.77% Friday BTO BROOKFIELD INFR BIP 0.82 0.4 -1.22% Friday BTO CAMECO CORP CCJ 0.29 0.17 -200.00% Friday BTO SEMICON MFG-ADR SMI 0 0.11 -36.36% Friday BTO NIPPON TELE-ADR NTTYY N/A 1.09 N/A Friday BTO APPLIED GEN TEC AGTC -0.09 0.11 42.86% Friday BTO OAKTREE STR INC OCSI 0.19 0.2 11.11% Friday BTO A P MOLLAR-MRSK AMKBY N/A -0.65 N/A Friday BTO BUCKEYE PARTNRS BPL 0.88 0.78 -5.81% Friday BTO
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Earnings Estimates Going Higher
The picture emerging from the Q4 earnings season is one of all around strength and momentum. Not only is an above average proportion of companies beating top- and bottom-line expectations, but estimates for the current period are also materially going up.
We are at the halfway mark in the Q4 reporting season for the S&P 500 index, with results from 251 index members already out and another 92 on deck to release results this week. We are not quite that further along in the reporting cycle for the small-cap S&P 600 index, with results from only 26% of the index’s members out.
We have a pretty good sense of the large-cap results already, with only retail and other consumer oriented operators still to report results. We will start seeing these consumer oriented reports week, with media operators like Disney (DIS - Free Report) , restaurant players like Chipotle (CMG - Free Report) and other consumer facing players like Michael Kors on deck to report results. We will know for sure only after seeing these quarterly results, but the odds are high that these consumer companies did as good in the last quarter of the year as we have been seeing from all the other sectors this earnings season.
We will discuss details of the Q4 earnings season in detail below, but I want to focus on the very impressive revisions trend that we are seeing for the current and coming quarters.
Regular readers will recall that estimates for the Q4 earnings season had held up unusually better in the run up to the start of this earnings season. But what we are witnessing with estimates for the current and following quarters is extremely positive.
The typical pattern over the last few years has been that estimates for the quarter will start coming down as we will get closer to the reporting season for that quarter. The opposite is the case with the current (and following) quarter(s), with estimates starting to go up in a notable way. You can clearly see this in the evolving earnings growth expectations for 2018 Q1, as depicted in the chart below.
Full-year 2018 estimates are similarly going up, as the chart below shows.
Estimates for 2018 Q1 have gone up for 15 of the 16 Zacks sectors, with the Conglomerates sector as the only whose estimates have come down. In terms of the dollar increase in Q1 estimates, the Finance sector takes the lead, followed the Energy, Technology, Medical and other sectors.
Q4 Earnings Season Scorecard (as of Friday, February 2, 2018)
Total earnings for the 251 S&P 500 members that have reported results already are up +16% from the same period last year on +10.5% higher revenues, with 80.5% beating EPS estimates and 78.1% beating revenue estimates. The proportion of companies beating both EPS and revenue estimates is 64.9%.
To put these results in a historical context, the charts below compare the results thus far with what we had seen from the same group of 251 index members in other recent periods.
Any way you look at these results, the Q4 earnings season is on track to be very good. Not only is growth tracking above what we had seen from the same group of 251 index members, but a record proportion are beating EPS and revenue estimates.
The comparison charts below highlight the very strong revenue momentum that’s coming out of the Q4 earnings season, a truly impressive performance.
Expectations for Q4 As a Whole
Total Q4 earnings are expected to be up +13% from the same period last year on +7.7% higher revenues. This would follow +6.7% earnings growth in 2017 Q3 on +5.9% growth in revenues.
The table below shows the summary picture for Q4, contrasted with what was actually achieved in Q3.
The chart below shows Q4 earnings growth expectations contrasted with what is expected in the following three quarters and actual results in the preceding 5 quarters. As you can see in the chart below, the growth pace is expected to pick up in Q4 after dipping in the preceding quarter and continue accelerating going forward.
The Small-Cap Scorecard
For the S&P 600 index, we now have Q4 results from 156 index members or 26% of the index’s total membership. Total earnings for these 156 index members are up +12.7% from the same period last year on +10.3% higher revenues, with 67.3% beating EPS estimates and 68.6% beating revenue estimates.
The charts below compare the results thus far with what we had seen from the same group of 156 index members in other recent periods.
The table below shows the blended picture, combining the actual results that have come out with estimates for the still-to-come companies, for Q4 for the small-cap index.
The chart below puts the small-cap index’s expected Q4 performance in the context of where growth has come from and where it is expected to go in the coming quarters.
Note: Sheraz Mian manages the Zacks equity research department. He is an acknowledged earnings expert whose commentaries and analyses appear on Zacks.com and in the print and electronic media. His weekly earnings related articles include Earnings Trends and Earnings Preview. He manages the Zacks Top 10 and Focus List portfolios and writes the Weekly Market Analysis article for Zacks Premium subscribers.
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Here is a list of the 482 companies including 92 S&P 500 and reporting this week.