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PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

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Have you been paying attention to shares of Paccar (PCAR - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 14.5% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $76.12 in the previous session. Paccar has gained 14.7% since the start of the year compared to the 28.6% move for the Zacks Auto-Tires-Trucks sector and the 43.3% return for the Zacks Automotive - Domestic industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on January 24, 2023, Paccar reported EPS of $1.76 versus consensus estimate of $1.49.

For the current fiscal year, Paccar is expected to post earnings of $6.11 per share on $30.75 billion in revenues. This represents a 6.26% change in EPS on a 12.57% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $5.57 per share on $28.34 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of -8.9% and -7.82%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Paccar may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Paccar has a Value Score of A. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 12.4X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 12.4X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 11.4X versus its peer group's average of 12.9X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.24. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Paccar currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Paccar fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Paccar shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.


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