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Is AerCap Holdings a Great Stock for Value Investors?
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Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
PE Ratio
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, AerCap Holdings has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 6.76. This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 19.61. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, AerCap Holdings’ current PE level puts it below its midpoint of 8.01 over the past five years. Moreover, the current level stands well below the highs for this stock, suggesting it might be a good entry point.
Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the Zacks classified Finance sector’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 15.91. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that AerCap Holdings has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 6.50, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for AerCap Holdings stock in the near term too.
P/S Ratio
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, AerCap Holdings has a P/S ratio of about 1.51. This is reasonably lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 2.94 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.
If anything, AER is in the lower end of its range in the time period from a P/S metric, suggesting some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, AerCap Holdings currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of ‘A’, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes AerCap Holdings a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.
For example, the PEG ratio for AerCap Holdings is just 0.70, a level that is decently lower than the industry average of 1.54. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Clearly, AER is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though AerCap Holdings might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of ‘C’ and a Momentum score of ‘A’. This gives AER a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of ‘A’. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Notably, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been quite encouraging. The current quarter has seen five estimates go higher in the past sixty days compared to just one lower, while the full year estimate has seen seven upward revisions and no downward revision in the same time period.
This has also had a meaningful impact on the consensus estimate as the current quarter consensus estimate has jumped 18.9% in the past two months, with the full year estimate having improved 8.8%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
However, this positive trend has likely not yet been reflected in the stock, as we have just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), which indicates expectations of in-line performance in the near term. Nonetheless, the definite bullish analyst sentiment indicates that the stock’s growth story is intact.
Bottom Line
AerCap Holdings is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front.
Though the company carries a Zacks Rank #3, its strong industry rank (Top 4% out of more than 250 industries) bodes well. Despite having a Zacks Rank #3, the stock belongs to an industry which is ranked among the Top 4%, which indicates that broader factors are favorable for the company. Further, over the past two years, the Zacks Finance – Leasing Companies industry’s performance has almost been in line with the broader market, as you can see below:
So, it might pay for value investors to delve deeper into the company’s prospects, as fundamentals indicate that this stock could be a compelling pick.
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Is AerCap Holdings a Great Stock for Value Investors?
Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
PE Ratio
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, AerCap Holdings has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 6.76. This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 19.61. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, AerCap Holdings’ current PE level puts it below its midpoint of 8.01 over the past five years. Moreover, the current level stands well below the highs for this stock, suggesting it might be a good entry point.
Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the Zacks classified Finance sector’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 15.91. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that AerCap Holdings has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 6.50, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for AerCap Holdings stock in the near term too.
P/S Ratio
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, AerCap Holdings has a P/S ratio of about 1.51. This is reasonably lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 2.94 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.
If anything, AER is in the lower end of its range in the time period from a P/S metric, suggesting some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, AerCap Holdings currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of ‘A’, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes AerCap Holdings a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.
For example, the PEG ratio for AerCap Holdings is just 0.70, a level that is decently lower than the industry average of 1.54. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Clearly, AER is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though AerCap Holdings might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of ‘C’ and a Momentum score of ‘A’. This gives AER a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of ‘A’. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Notably, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been quite encouraging. The current quarter has seen five estimates go higher in the past sixty days compared to just one lower, while the full year estimate has seen seven upward revisions and no downward revision in the same time period.
This has also had a meaningful impact on the consensus estimate as the current quarter consensus estimate has jumped 18.9% in the past two months, with the full year estimate having improved 8.8%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
AERCAP HLDGS NV Price and Consensus
AERCAP HLDGS NV Price and Consensus | AERCAP HLDGS NV Quote
However, this positive trend has likely not yet been reflected in the stock, as we have just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), which indicates expectations of in-line performance in the near term. Nonetheless, the definite bullish analyst sentiment indicates that the stock’s growth story is intact.
Bottom Line
AerCap Holdings is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front.
Though the company carries a Zacks Rank #3, its strong industry rank (Top 4% out of more than 250 industries) bodes well. Despite having a Zacks Rank #3, the stock belongs to an industry which is ranked among the Top 4%, which indicates that broader factors are favorable for the company. Further, over the past two years, the Zacks Finance – Leasing Companies industry’s performance has almost been in line with the broader market, as you can see below:
So, it might pay for value investors to delve deeper into the company’s prospects, as fundamentals indicate that this stock could be a compelling pick.
Zacks' Top 10 Stocks for 2017
In addition to the stocks discussed above, would you like to know about our 10 finest tickers for the entirety of 2017?
Who wouldn't? These 10 are painstakingly hand-picked from 4,400 companies covered by the Zacks Rank. They are our primary picks to buy and hold. Be among the very first to see them >>