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inflation: Archive

Bryan Hayes

Presidential Cycle Takes Center Stage as 2024 Election Ramps Up

What does history say about stock market returns in election years?

SPYPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Trim Monday Rally; Trade Deficit Comes Down

The S&P 500 put up its best single trading day since early November, and is within striking distance of fresh all-time highs.

BAPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobs +216K, Unemployment 3.7%: Better than Expected

If you're looking for data that will allow the Fed to put some slack in interest rates near-term, these numbers are a disappointment.

BACPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change CNegative Net Change ADPPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Early 2024 Markets Sweep Up Excesses

All major indices are in the red so far in the first trading week of 2024, with the small-cap Russell down nearly -5% in just three days.

AAPLPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

On Inflation Management and High Expectations

If there's one sure way for the Fed to instigate an economic recession, it would be by keeping rates abnormally high for too long of a time.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobs Week to Kick Off with JOLTS; Fed Minutes Today

We'll also get private-sector payrolls from ADP (ADP) for December along with Weekly Jobless Claims tomorrow, and the all-important Employment Situation report Friday morning.

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Mark Vickery

On the Last Trading Day of 2023, Looking Ahead to Jobs Week

As always, we look for clues as to where things are headed in 2024, and next week brings a fresh Jobs Week.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Labor, Housing Stay Healthy Going into 2024

The Dow is striking new all-time highs (not seen in almost two years, by the way), and the S&P is too, but we're still off November 2021 all-time highs on the Nasdaq and Russell.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Santa Claus Rally Losing Steam; Jobless Claims Up a Bit

The economy has done better than expected through 2023 -- how long can this continue?

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Andrew Rocco

2023 Rewind: Technicals (Part 3)

On Wall Street, price action is king. 2023 provided plenty of valuable lessons to investors on the technical front.

MSFTNegative Net Change QQQNegative Net Change COINPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

A Couple Important Points About 2024

Bullishness in the market and economic structures for 2024 will not trigger a cut from the Fed.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

After Big Gains, Is a "Santa Claus Rally" Possible?

Any Santa Claus rally from here would likely be a resuming of bullish narratives followed over the past couple weeks.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Bouncing Back for the Day, Quarter and Full Year

All in all, it's been a lovely couple months on the stock market; you can say Christmas came early this year.

NKEPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Bring on Santa! Economic Prints (Mostly) Favorable

After Q3 GDP, jobless claims and Philly Fed, results in the markets have been to drive higher while yield rates on 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds have been falling.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Could Supply Chain Disruptions End the Party?

It's likely some profit-booking going on in the sell-off, but it's always worth it to pay attention to what's going on.

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Mark Vickery

Housing Starts/Permits Healthy, Rally Continues

Housing Starts results brought the best tally since May, and the second-highest print of the year.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Shaun Pruitt

3 Highly Ranked Retail Stocks to Buy at Year's End

Rising earnings estimates are a reminder that the impressive price performances of these retail stocks should continue as 2024 approaches.

DECKPositive Net Change CASYPositive Net Change PDDPositive Net Change JDPositive Net Change BABAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Take Profits to Conclude Momentous Trading Week

Melting inflation with relatively steady employment and increasing productivity have provided a recipe for a "soft landing."

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Shaun Pruitt

3 Exciting Small Cap Stocks with Dividend Yields Over 5%

As broader markets continue to rally on the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, many small-cap stocks are joining the party.

DLXNegative Net Change JHGPositive Net Change FATNegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Economic Data Supports Fed Positivity

We appear to be on the other side of the mountain, and market participants are rejoicing.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Fed Keeps Rates Steady, Infers 3 Rate Cuts in 2024

In just 10 minutes following the release of the FOMC statement this afternoon, major indices all leapt higher.

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Mark Vickery

PPI Flat Month Over Month, +2.0% Year Over Year

Year over year PPI has come down precipitously, from +9.6% in April of 2022 and +5.7% in January of this year.

QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Sanghamitra Saha

4 Sector ETFs to Win Despite Slowing November Inflation Data

The annual inflation rate in the United States slowed to 3.1% in November 2023, the lowest reading in five months.

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Mark Vickery

What's the Fed Going to Say About All This Bullishness?

Fed Chair Powell might make quick work of the notion of early 2024 rate cuts in a mere phrase or two.

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