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interest-rate: Archive

Mark Vickery

Early 2024 Markets Sweep Up Excesses

All major indices are in the red so far in the first trading week of 2024, with the small-cap Russell down nearly -5% in just three days.

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Mark Vickery

On Inflation Management and High Expectations

If there's one sure way for the Fed to instigate an economic recession, it would be by keeping rates abnormally high for too long of a time.

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Mark Vickery

Jobs Week to Kick Off with JOLTS; Fed Minutes Today

We'll also get private-sector payrolls from ADP (ADP) for December along with Weekly Jobless Claims tomorrow, and the all-important Employment Situation report Friday morning.

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Mark Vickery

On the Last Trading Day of 2023, Looking Ahead to Jobs Week

As always, we look for clues as to where things are headed in 2024, and next week brings a fresh Jobs Week.

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Mark Vickery

Labor, Housing Stay Healthy Going into 2024

The Dow is striking new all-time highs (not seen in almost two years, by the way), and the S&P is too, but we're still off November 2021 all-time highs on the Nasdaq and Russell.

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Andrew Rocco

2023 Rewind: Technicals (Part 3)

On Wall Street, price action is king. 2023 provided plenty of valuable lessons to investors on the technical front.

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Mark Vickery

A Couple Important Points About 2024

Bullishness in the market and economic structures for 2024 will not trigger a cut from the Fed.

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Mark Vickery

Yes Virginia, There Is a Santa Claus Rally

The Russell is up an astounding +26% from late October, largely thanks to signaled interest rate cuts from the Fed in 2024.

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Mark Vickery

After Big Gains, Is a "Santa Claus Rally" Possible?

Any Santa Claus rally from here would likely be a resuming of bullish narratives followed over the past couple weeks.

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Mark Vickery

Bring on Santa! Economic Prints (Mostly) Favorable

After Q3 GDP, jobless claims and Philly Fed, results in the markets have been to drive higher while yield rates on 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds have been falling.

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Andrew Rocco

2023 Rewind: 5 Valuable Lessons

Whether you made money in 2023 or lost, looking back and studying the past can help with the future. Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco identifies 5 key lessons from this historic year.

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Mark Vickery

Could Supply Chain Disruptions End the Party?

It's likely some profit-booking going on in the sell-off, but it's always worth it to pay attention to what's going on.

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Mark Vickery

Housing Starts/Permits Healthy, Rally Continues

Housing Starts results brought the best tally since May, and the second-highest print of the year.

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Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Take Profits to Conclude Momentous Trading Week

Melting inflation with relatively steady employment and increasing productivity have provided a recipe for a "soft landing."

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Shaun Pruitt

3 Exciting Small Cap Stocks with Dividend Yields Over 5%

As broader markets continue to rally on the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, many small-cap stocks are joining the party.

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Mark Vickery

Economic Data Supports Fed Positivity

We appear to be on the other side of the mountain, and market participants are rejoicing.

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Mark Vickery

Fed Keeps Rates Steady, Infers 3 Rate Cuts in 2024

In just 10 minutes following the release of the FOMC statement this afternoon, major indices all leapt higher.

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Mark Vickery

PPI Flat Month Over Month, +2.0% Year Over Year

Year over year PPI has come down precipitously, from +9.6% in April of 2022 and +5.7% in January of this year.

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Mark Vickery

What's the Fed Going to Say About All This Bullishness?

Fed Chair Powell might make quick work of the notion of early 2024 rate cuts in a mere phrase or two.

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Mark Vickery

November CPI Roughly In-Line, Pre-Markets Cool

The "Inflation Rate" was directly in-line with estimates for November: 3.1%, down 10 bps month over month, and the one shining beacon of evidence for the narrative that inflation is coming down.

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Bryan Hayes

Market Rally Grows Legs as Breadth Improves: Stocks to Watch

The rebound points to a higher probability that the major indexes will ultimately eclipse their all-time highs sooner rather than later.

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Andrew Rocco

5 Reasons to be Bullish into 2024

Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco unveils 5 bullish undercurrents that will push stocks even higher into the new year.

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Mark Vickery

Markets Trade Up Ahead of CPI, Fed Meeting

CPI numbers tomorrow are not expected to spike hotter; even if they do, one set of data points would almost assuredly not be enough for the Fed to consider making a move.

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Mark Vickery

BLS Shows 199K New Jobs; Unemployment Down to 3.7%

This 199K figure is roughly in the median of the past several months, which had been roughly double during the Great Reopening period.

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Mark Vickery

ADP 103K, Productivity +5.2%: Goldilocks-Adjacent

At roughly 100K private-sector job gains per month, we're still on track for a soft landing in the overall economy.

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