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We'll also get private-sector payrolls from ADP (ADP) for December along with Weekly Jobless Claims tomorrow, and the all-important Employment Situation report Friday morning.
The Dow is striking new all-time highs (not seen in almost two years, by the way), and the S&P is too, but we're still off November 2021 all-time highs on the Nasdaq and Russell.
After Q3 GDP, jobless claims and Philly Fed, results in the markets have been to drive higher while yield rates on 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds have been falling.
Whether you made money in 2023 or lost, looking back and studying the past can help with the future. Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco identifies 5 key lessons from this historic year.
The "Inflation Rate" was directly in-line with estimates for November: 3.1%, down 10 bps month over month, and the one shining beacon of evidence for the narrative that inflation is coming down.
CPI numbers tomorrow are not expected to spike hotter; even if they do, one set of data points would almost assuredly not be enough for the Fed to consider making a move.
interest-rate: Archive
Early 2024 Markets Sweep Up Excesses
by Mark Vickery
All major indices are in the red so far in the first trading week of 2024, with the small-cap Russell down nearly -5% in just three days.
AAPLPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
inflation interest-rate staffing
On Inflation Management and High Expectations
by Mark Vickery
If there's one sure way for the Fed to instigate an economic recession, it would be by keeping rates abnormally high for too long of a time.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate staffing
Jobs Week to Kick Off with JOLTS; Fed Minutes Today
by Mark Vickery
We'll also get private-sector payrolls from ADP (ADP) for December along with Weekly Jobless Claims tomorrow, and the all-important Employment Situation report Friday morning.
AAPLPositive Net Change ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
advertising inflation interest-rate staffing
On the Last Trading Day of 2023, Looking Ahead to Jobs Week
by Mark Vickery
As always, we look for clues as to where things are headed in 2024, and next week brings a fresh Jobs Week.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
inflation interest-rate staffing
Labor, Housing Stay Healthy Going into 2024
by Mark Vickery
The Dow is striking new all-time highs (not seen in almost two years, by the way), and the S&P is too, but we're still off November 2021 all-time highs on the Nasdaq and Russell.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
home-builder home-buying-apps inflation interest-rate staffing
2023 Rewind: Technicals (Part 3)
by Andrew Rocco
On Wall Street, price action is king. 2023 provided plenty of valuable lessons to investors on the technical front.
MSFTNegative Net Change QQQNegative Net Change COINPositive Net Change
earnings inflation interest-rate investing
A Couple Important Points About 2024
by Mark Vickery
Bullishness in the market and economic structures for 2024 will not trigger a cut from the Fed.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate
Yes Virginia, There Is a Santa Claus Rally
by Mark Vickery
The Russell is up an astounding +26% from late October, largely thanks to signaled interest rate cuts from the Fed in 2024.
AZNNegative Net Change BMYNegative Net Change
finance home-builder interest-rate
After Big Gains, Is a "Santa Claus Rally" Possible?
by Mark Vickery
Any Santa Claus rally from here would likely be a resuming of bullish narratives followed over the past couple weeks.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
home-builder home-buying-apps inflation interest-rate staffing
Bring on Santa! Economic Prints (Mostly) Favorable
by Mark Vickery
After Q3 GDP, jobless claims and Philly Fed, results in the markets have been to drive higher while yield rates on 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds have been falling.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
basic-materials inflation interest-rate staffing
2023 Rewind: 5 Valuable Lessons
by Andrew Rocco
Whether you made money in 2023 or lost, looking back and studying the past can help with the future. Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco identifies 5 key lessons from this historic year.
QQQNegative Net Change IWMPositive Net Change ITBPositive Net Change SLXPositive Net Change SMHNegative Net Change
home-builder interest-rate investing semiconductor
Could Supply Chain Disruptions End the Party?
by Mark Vickery
It's likely some profit-booking going on in the sell-off, but it's always worth it to pay attention to what's going on.
GISNegative Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-staples inflation interest-rate transportation
Housing Starts/Permits Healthy, Rally Continues
by Mark Vickery
Housing Starts results brought the best tally since May, and the second-highest print of the year.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
construction home-builder inflation interest-rate
Pre-Markets Take Profits to Conclude Momentous Trading Week
by Mark Vickery
Melting inflation with relatively steady employment and increasing productivity have provided a recipe for a "soft landing."
QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
basic-materials industrial-products inflation interest-rate
3 Exciting Small Cap Stocks with Dividend Yields Over 5%
by Shaun Pruitt
As broader markets continue to rally on the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, many small-cap stocks are joining the party.
DLXNegative Net Change JHGPositive Net Change FATNegative Net Change
business-services dividend-investing dividends finance inflation interest-rate payments restaurants retail
Economic Data Supports Fed Positivity
by Mark Vickery
We appear to be on the other side of the mountain, and market participants are rejoicing.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate retail staffing
Fed Keeps Rates Steady, Infers 3 Rate Cuts in 2024
by Mark Vickery
In just 10 minutes following the release of the FOMC statement this afternoon, major indices all leapt higher.
ADBEPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
finance inflation interest-rate
PPI Flat Month Over Month, +2.0% Year Over Year
by Mark Vickery
Year over year PPI has come down precipitously, from +9.6% in April of 2022 and +5.7% in January of this year.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
basic-materials industrial-products inflation interest-rate
What's the Fed Going to Say About All This Bullishness?
by Mark Vickery
Fed Chair Powell might make quick work of the notion of early 2024 rate cuts in a mere phrase or two.
BAPositive Net Change JPMPositive Net Change VPositive Net Change IBMPositive Net Change XOMPositive Net Change ORCLPositive Net Change ADBEPositive Net Change
earnings finance inflation interest-rate
November CPI Roughly In-Line, Pre-Markets Cool
by Mark Vickery
The "Inflation Rate" was directly in-line with estimates for November: 3.1%, down 10 bps month over month, and the one shining beacon of evidence for the narrative that inflation is coming down.
QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples finance inflation interest-rate
Market Rally Grows Legs as Breadth Improves: Stocks to Watch
by Bryan Hayes
The rebound points to a higher probability that the major indexes will ultimately eclipse their all-time highs sooner rather than later.
TOLNegative Net Change LENPositive Net Change
construction earnings home-builder inflation interest-rate investing tech-stocks
5 Reasons to be Bullish into 2024
by Andrew Rocco
Stock Strategist Andrew Rocco unveils 5 bullish undercurrents that will push stocks even higher into the new year.
NVONegative Net Change NVDANegative Net Change QQQNegative Net Change IWMPositive Net Change KREPositive Net Change CRSPPositive Net Change METANegative Net Change
biotechnology crispr interest-rate tech-stocks
Markets Trade Up Ahead of CPI, Fed Meeting
by Mark Vickery
CPI numbers tomorrow are not expected to spike hotter; even if they do, one set of data points would almost assuredly not be enough for the Fed to consider making a move.
MNegative Net Change ORCLPositive Net Change CASYPositive Net Change
consumer-discretionary consumer-staples earnings inflation interest-rate
BLS Shows 199K New Jobs; Unemployment Down to 3.7%
by Mark Vickery
This 199K figure is roughly in the median of the past several months, which had been roughly double during the Great Reopening period.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
earnings inflation interest-rate staffing
ADP 103K, Productivity +5.2%: Goldilocks-Adjacent
by Mark Vickery
At roughly 100K private-sector job gains per month, we're still on track for a soft landing in the overall economy.
ADPPositive Net Change QQQNegative Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change
inflation interest-rate staffing