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Why Netflix Stock (NFLX) is Still Worth Buying as Q3 Earnings Approach
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Trading over $700, Netflix (NFLX - Free Report) shares have rallied more than +40% year to date and are sitting on gains of nearly +150% in the last five years.
Despite a hefty price tag, Netflix stock sports a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) with the streaming giant’s third quarter results approaching on Thursday, October 17. That said, here is a look at why now is still a good time to invest in Netflix.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Strong Subscriber Growth
Boosting investor confidence, subscriber growth has been the primary catalyst to the strong price performance of NFLX. Netflix is thought to have added 4.75 million users during Q3 after adding an astonishing 8.76 million subscriptions during the prior year quarter which was 2.9 million more than expected. Most recently, Netflix added 8.04 million subscriptions during Q2, adding more than 2.24 million users than expected.
Enhancing its portfolio of original shows and content, Netflix has stayed on top of the hill in regards to streaming services having over 277 million users at the end of Q2 which still topped all of Disney’s (DIS - Free Report) main subscribers (Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN). This was also well ahead of Paramount Global (PARA - Free Report) and Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD - Free Report) which had 68 million and 103 million subscribers respectively.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Q3 Financial Growth
Attributed to its strong subscriber growth, Netflix is expected to post double-digit top and bottom line expansion in fiscal 2024 and FY25. Netflix’s Q3 sales are expected to rise 14% to $9.77 billion compared to $8.54 billion a year ago.
More impressive, Q3 earnings are thought to have soared 36% to $5.09 per share versus EPS of $3.73 in the comparative quarter. Notably, Netflix has surpassed the Zacks EPS Consensus in three of its last four quarterly reports posting an average earnings surprise of 6.15%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Netflix's Reasonable Valuation (P/E)
Addressing the elephant in the room, Netflix’s valuation is far more reasonable than in the past despite its stock price suggesting otherwise. To that point, NFLX trades at 37.3X forward earnings which is nicely beneath its five-year high of 100.6X and slightly beneath the median of 37.9X during this period.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Takeaway
The year to date rally in NFLX should continue if Netflix can reach or exceed earnings expectations and post another quarter of stellar subscriber growth. Considering Netflix’s dominant market position, a post-earnings selloff could also lead to even better buying opportunities if presented, given the company’s long-term growth trajectory and the leveling of its valuation.
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Why Netflix Stock (NFLX) is Still Worth Buying as Q3 Earnings Approach
Trading over $700, Netflix (NFLX - Free Report) shares have rallied more than +40% year to date and are sitting on gains of nearly +150% in the last five years.
Despite a hefty price tag, Netflix stock sports a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) with the streaming giant’s third quarter results approaching on Thursday, October 17. That said, here is a look at why now is still a good time to invest in Netflix.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Strong Subscriber Growth
Boosting investor confidence, subscriber growth has been the primary catalyst to the strong price performance of NFLX. Netflix is thought to have added 4.75 million users during Q3 after adding an astonishing 8.76 million subscriptions during the prior year quarter which was 2.9 million more than expected. Most recently, Netflix added 8.04 million subscriptions during Q2, adding more than 2.24 million users than expected.
Enhancing its portfolio of original shows and content, Netflix has stayed on top of the hill in regards to streaming services having over 277 million users at the end of Q2 which still topped all of Disney’s (DIS - Free Report) main subscribers (Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN). This was also well ahead of Paramount Global (PARA - Free Report) and Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD - Free Report) which had 68 million and 103 million subscribers respectively.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Q3 Financial Growth
Attributed to its strong subscriber growth, Netflix is expected to post double-digit top and bottom line expansion in fiscal 2024 and FY25. Netflix’s Q3 sales are expected to rise 14% to $9.77 billion compared to $8.54 billion a year ago.
More impressive, Q3 earnings are thought to have soared 36% to $5.09 per share versus EPS of $3.73 in the comparative quarter. Notably, Netflix has surpassed the Zacks EPS Consensus in three of its last four quarterly reports posting an average earnings surprise of 6.15%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Netflix's Reasonable Valuation (P/E)
Addressing the elephant in the room, Netflix’s valuation is far more reasonable than in the past despite its stock price suggesting otherwise. To that point, NFLX trades at 37.3X forward earnings which is nicely beneath its five-year high of 100.6X and slightly beneath the median of 37.9X during this period.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Takeaway
The year to date rally in NFLX should continue if Netflix can reach or exceed earnings expectations and post another quarter of stellar subscriber growth. Considering Netflix’s dominant market position, a post-earnings selloff could also lead to even better buying opportunities if presented, given the company’s long-term growth trajectory and the leveling of its valuation.