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PDC Energy (PDCE) Hits 52-Week High, Can the Run Continue?

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Have you been paying attention to shares of PDC Energy ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 18.1% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $58.16 in the previous session. PDC Energy has gained 179.1% since the start of the year compared to the 38.6% move for the Zacks Oils-Energy sector and the 117.7% return for the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on November 3, 2021, PDC Energy reported EPS of $2.33 versus consensus estimate of $1.45.

For the current fiscal year, PDC Energy is expected to post earnings of $6.64 per share on $1.99 billion in revenues. This represents a 227.09% change in EPS on a 30.55% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $8.98 per share on $2.46 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 35.22% and 23.24%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

PDC Energy may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

PDC Energy has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and C, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 8.6X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 6.8X versus its peer group's average of 5.6X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, PDC Energy currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if PDC Energy passes the test. Thus, it seems as though PDC Energy shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.

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