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AGNC Investment (AGNC) Tops on Q3 Net Spread and Dollar Roll

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AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC - Free Report) reported a third-quarter 2022 net spread and dollar roll income per common share (excluding estimated "catch-up" premium amortization costs) of 84 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 71 cents. The reported figure improved from 75 cents in third-quarter 2021.Our estimate for the same was pegged at 67 cents.

Adjusted net interest and dollar roll income (excluding catch-up premium amortization) was $489 million, rising from the quarter-ago number of $443 million.

The company reported a third-quarter comprehensive loss per common share of $2.01 against the prior-year quarter’s income of 37 cents.

Inside the Headlines

Net interest income of $177 million jumped 36.6% year over year but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $289.1 million. Our estimate for the same was pegged at $289.2 million.

AGNC Investment's average asset yield on its portfolio was 3.09% in the third quarter, up from 2.30% in the prior-year quarter.

For the third quarter, the combined weighted average cost of funds, inclusive of the interest rate swap, was 0.50% against the total benefit of 0.03% in the prior-year quarter.

The average net interest spread (excluding catch-up premium amortization) was 2.81%, up from 2.19% reported in the prior-year quarter.

AGNC Investment’s tangible net book value "at risk" leverage ratio was 8.1X as of Sep 30, 2022, compared with 7.5X in the prior-year quarter.

For the third quarter, the company's investment portfolio bore a weighted average actual constant prepayment rate (CPR) of 9.2%, down from 22.5% in third-quarter 2021.

As of Sep 30, 2022, its tangible net book value per share (“BVPS”) was $9.08, down 20.5% from $11.43 as of Jun 30, 2022. Also, it compares unfavorably with BVPS of $16.41 as of Sep 30, 2021.

The annualized economic loss on tangible common equity for the company in the reported quarter was 17.4%. This included a dividend per share of 36 cents and a decrease of $2.35 in tangible net BVPS.

As of Sep 30, 2022, the company’s investment portfolio aggregated $61.5 billion. This included $41.9 billion of Agency mortgage-backed securities, $17.9 million of net to-be-announced mortgage position, and $1.7 billion of credit risk transfer and non-Agency securities.

As of Sep 30, 2022, AGNC Investment’s cash and cash equivalents totaled $976 million, up from $906 million as of Jun 30, 2022.

Dividend Update

In the third quarter, AGNC Investment announced a dividend of 12 cents per share each for July, August and September. Notably, the company declared $11.8 billion in common stock dividends or $45.40 per common share since its initial public offering in May 2008 through third-quarter 2022.

Conclusion

In the third quarter, rising asset yields aided the results. In a bid to navigate the monetary policy transition, the company has defensively positioned itself with prudent asset-selection efforts and timely portfolio adjustment. Going forward, investments in agency MBS will drive attractive risk-adjusted returns.

Also, mortgage rates increased marginally on a sequential basis, limiting refinancing activities in the quarter. This likely reduced the CPR levels for the company.

AGNC Investment Corp. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

 

AGNC Investment Corp. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

AGNC Investment Corp. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | AGNC Investment Corp. Quote

AGNC Investment currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Earnings Release Dates of Other REITs

We now look forward to the earnings releases of Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY - Free Report) and Starwood Property Trust (STWD - Free Report) .

Annaly is scheduled to report quarterly figures on Oct 26. NLYcurrently carries a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold).

Starwood Property Trust is scheduled to report quarterly figures on Nov 9. STWD currently carries a Zacks Rank of 3.


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