Back to top

Image: Bigstock

Ferguson plc (FERG) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Have you been paying attention to shares of Ferguson plc (FERG - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 0.5% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $164.07 in the previous session. Ferguson plc has gained 28.7% since the start of the year compared to the 5.6% move for the Zacks Industrial Products sector and the 9.5% return for the Zacks Manufacturing - General Industrial industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on September 26, 2023, Ferguson plc reported EPS of $2.77 versus consensus estimate of $2.46.

For the current fiscal year, Ferguson plc is expected to post earnings of $9.67 per share on $29.53 billion in revenues. This represents a -1.73% change in EPS on a -0.67% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $10.59 per share on $31.16 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 9.57% and 5.49%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Ferguson plc may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Ferguson plc has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 16.9X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 19.4X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 15.1X versus its peer group's average of 10.9X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Ferguson plc currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Ferguson plc meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Ferguson plc shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.

How Does FERG Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of FERG have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT - Free Report) . AIT has a Zacks Rank of # 2 (Buy) and a Value Score of B, a Growth Score of A, and a Momentum Score of C.

Earnings were strong last quarter. Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. beat our consensus estimate by 7.80%, and for the current fiscal year, AIT is expected to post earnings of $9.02 per share on revenue of $4.52 billion.

Shares of Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. have gained 1% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 17.31X and a P/CF of 15.13X.

The Manufacturing - General Industrial industry is in the top 24% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for FERG and AIT, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.


See More Zacks Research for These Tickers


Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:


Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) - free report >>

Ferguson plc (FERG) - free report >>

Published in