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Why Is Best Buy (BBY) Down 10% Since Last Earnings Report?
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It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Best Buy (BBY - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 10% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Best Buy due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.
Best Buy Q2 Earnings Beat, Comparable Sales Dip 6.2% Y/Y
Best Buy has posted better-than-expected earnings for second-quarter fiscal 2024. However, sales and earnings decreased year over year. Best Buy’s adjusted earnings of $1.22 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of earnings of $1.06. The bottom line decreased from the $1.54 per share recorded in the year-ago period.
Q2 Details
Enterprise revenues declined 7.2% from the prior fiscal year’s quarterly number to $9,583 million. The figure surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9,521 million. Enterprise comparable sales dropped 6.2% year over year, narrower than the 12.1% decline seen in the year-ago quarter.
Gross profit declined 2.9% to $2,220 million, while the gross margin expanded 110 basis points (bps) to 23.2%. The metric fared better than our estimate of 22.8%. Adjusted operating income came in at $362 million, down from the $427 million recorded in the year-ago quarter. The adjusted operating margin shrank 30 bps to 3.8% but fared better than our estimate of 3.2%.
We note that adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses fell 0.1% to $1,858 million, while as a percentage of revenues, the same increased 140 bps to 19.4%. Our estimate for adjusted SG&A expenses, as a rate of revenues, was pegged at 19.7%.
Segmental Details
The Domestic segment’s revenues fell 7.1% to $8,890 million. This decline from the last fiscal year’s quarterly reading was mainly induced by a comparable sales decrease of 6.3%. From a merchandising perspective, comparable sales decreased in categories, with the major drivers being appliances, home theater, computing and mobile phones, partially offset by growth in gaming. We expected revenues of $8,744.3 million from this segment in the quarter.
The Domestic segment’s online revenues of $2.76 billion declined 7.1% year over year on a comparable basis. As a percentage of total domestic revenues, online revenues were 31%, flat year over year.
The segment’s gross profit rate increased 110 bps to 23.1% due to better performance from the company’s membership offerings, including higher service margin rates and lower costs; favorable product margin rates; and higher gross profit rate from the company’s Health initiatives.
In the International segment, revenues fell 8.8% to $693 million mainly due to a comparable sales decline of 5.4% and adverse foreign currency translations of 340 bps. The segment’s operating income came in at $19 million or 2.7% of revenues, lower than the $28 million or 3.7% of revenues reported in the year-ago quarter. Our estimate for revenues from the segment was pegged at $717.4 million.
Other Details
Best Buy ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1,093 million, long-term debt of $1,145 million and a total equity of $2,835 million. At the end of the reported quarter, merchandise inventories of $5,651 million decreased 6.5% from the year-ago quarter’s reading.
In the quarter, BBY returned about $279 million to its shareholders via dividends of $200 million and share repurchases of $79 million.
Guidance
For fiscal 2024, including 53 weeks, management projects revenues of $43.8-$44.5 billion and a comparable sales decline of 4.5-6%. Earlier, it anticipated revenues of $43.8-$45.2 billion, with a comparable sales decline of 3-6%.
The company expects a fiscal 2024 adjusted operating margin of 3.9-4.1% compared with the 3.7-4.1% mentioned earlier. For fiscal 2024, management anticipates an effective income tax rate of 24.5%. For fiscal 2024, the company expects adjusted earnings per share (EPS) between $6.00 and $6.40 compared with the $5.70 and $6.50 guided earlier. Capital expenditure is anticipated to be $850 million.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
It turns out, fresh estimates have trended downward during the past month.
VGM Scores
At this time, Best Buy has a strong Growth Score of A, though it is lagging a bit on the Momentum Score front with a B. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top quintile for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Outlook
Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Notably, Best Buy has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
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Why Is Best Buy (BBY) Down 10% Since Last Earnings Report?
It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Best Buy (BBY - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 10% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Best Buy due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.
Best Buy Q2 Earnings Beat, Comparable Sales Dip 6.2% Y/Y
Best Buy has posted better-than-expected earnings for second-quarter fiscal 2024. However, sales and earnings decreased year over year. Best Buy’s adjusted earnings of $1.22 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of earnings of $1.06. The bottom line decreased from the $1.54 per share recorded in the year-ago period.
Q2 Details
Enterprise revenues declined 7.2% from the prior fiscal year’s quarterly number to $9,583 million. The figure surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9,521 million. Enterprise comparable sales dropped 6.2% year over year, narrower than the 12.1% decline seen in the year-ago quarter.
Gross profit declined 2.9% to $2,220 million, while the gross margin expanded 110 basis points (bps) to 23.2%. The metric fared better than our estimate of 22.8%. Adjusted operating income came in at $362 million, down from the $427 million recorded in the year-ago quarter. The adjusted operating margin shrank 30 bps to 3.8% but fared better than our estimate of 3.2%.
We note that adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses fell 0.1% to $1,858 million, while as a percentage of revenues, the same increased 140 bps to 19.4%. Our estimate for adjusted SG&A expenses, as a rate of revenues, was pegged at 19.7%.
Segmental Details
The Domestic segment’s revenues fell 7.1% to $8,890 million. This decline from the last fiscal year’s quarterly reading was mainly induced by a comparable sales decrease of 6.3%. From a merchandising perspective, comparable sales decreased in categories, with the major drivers being appliances, home theater, computing and mobile phones, partially offset by growth in gaming. We expected revenues of $8,744.3 million from this segment in the quarter.
The Domestic segment’s online revenues of $2.76 billion declined 7.1% year over year on a comparable basis. As a percentage of total domestic revenues, online revenues were 31%, flat year over year.
The segment’s gross profit rate increased 110 bps to 23.1% due to better performance from the company’s membership offerings, including higher service margin rates and lower costs; favorable product margin rates; and higher gross profit rate from the company’s Health initiatives.
In the International segment, revenues fell 8.8% to $693 million mainly due to a comparable sales decline of 5.4% and adverse foreign currency translations of 340 bps. The segment’s operating income came in at $19 million or 2.7% of revenues, lower than the $28 million or 3.7% of revenues reported in the year-ago quarter. Our estimate for revenues from the segment was pegged at $717.4 million.
Other Details
Best Buy ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1,093 million, long-term debt of $1,145 million and a total equity of $2,835 million.
At the end of the reported quarter, merchandise inventories of $5,651 million decreased 6.5% from the year-ago quarter’s reading.
In the quarter, BBY returned about $279 million to its shareholders via dividends of $200 million and share repurchases of $79 million.
Guidance
For fiscal 2024, including 53 weeks, management projects revenues of $43.8-$44.5 billion and a comparable sales decline of 4.5-6%. Earlier, it anticipated revenues of $43.8-$45.2 billion, with a comparable sales decline of 3-6%.
The company expects a fiscal 2024 adjusted operating margin of 3.9-4.1% compared with the 3.7-4.1% mentioned earlier. For fiscal 2024, management anticipates an effective income tax rate of 24.5%. For fiscal 2024, the company expects adjusted earnings per share (EPS) between $6.00 and $6.40 compared with the $5.70 and $6.50 guided earlier. Capital expenditure is anticipated to be $850 million.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
It turns out, fresh estimates have trended downward during the past month.
VGM Scores
At this time, Best Buy has a strong Growth Score of A, though it is lagging a bit on the Momentum Score front with a B. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top quintile for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Outlook
Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Notably, Best Buy has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.