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The COVID-19 Pandemic, a real estate crisis, and a slow economy have led to dramatic underperformance for Chinese equities over the past few years. For example, over the past five years, the iShares China Large-Cap ETF an ETF that allows investors to gain exposure to a broad range of large-cap Chinese stocks) has nearly been cut in half, while the S&P 500 is up more than 80% over the same period!
However, despite the poor performance in Chinese equities lately, it's always worth keeping them on your radar due to their innate ability to trend well once they turn. For example, the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF, which tracks the performance of a basket of Chinese internet and e-commerce companies, doubled from April 2020 to February 2021.
Below are five reasons Chinese stocks have bottomed including:
FXI Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern
The FXI ETF is probably the best proxy U.S.-based investors use to measure China. Currently, FXI is breaking out of a textbook inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Inverse head-and-shoulders patterns are considered bullish and are one of the most reliable indications of a potential trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Earnings Surprises & Turnarounds
Chinese internet companies like JD. Com and Bilibili are up more than 20% over the past few sessions after reporting solid earnings. BILI grew EPS 78% year-over-year and its fundamental picture is turning around rapidly.
Bad News Priced In?
Historically, equity markets have bottomed out on poor news. Between the potential banning of TikTok, the ailing Chinese real estate market, and sluggish growth, the worst may be behind the Chinese economy. Remember, U.S. equities bottomed after inflation levels hit the highest levels in more than 40 years.
Joining the AI Revolution
Last week, the Chinese government announced it is raising $27 billion for a semiconductor fund aimed at driving technologies such as artificial intelligence. AI-related stocks and their exploding earnings have been an integral part of the bull market in the U.S. and has the chance to do the same for China.
Insider Buying
Alibaba is China's e-commerce juggernaut. Recently, the company announced a $25 billion increase in share buybacks and over $200 million in insider purchases by CEO and founder Jack Ma and other insiders. The massive purchases show confidence in the Chinese economy and suggest that the lows are likely in for the stock.
Bottom Line
Despite recent challenges such as the COVID-19 pandemic, a real estate crisis, and a sluggish economy leading to a significant underperformance in Chinese equities over the past few years, there are indications that the Chinese market may be bottoming out.
Why Haven't You Looked at Zacks' Top Stocks?
Since 2000, our top stock-picking strategies have blown away the S&P's +7.0 average gain per year. Amazingly, they soared with average gains of +44.9%, +48.4% and +55.2% per year.
Today you can access their live picks without cost or obligation.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performancefor information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
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Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: FXI, KWEB, JD.Com, Bilibili and Alibaba
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – March 13, 2024 – Today, Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI - Free Report) , KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB - Free Report) , JD. Com (JD - Free Report) , Bilibili (BILI - Free Report) and Alibaba (BABA - Free Report) .
5 Reasons Chinese Equities Have Bottomed
The COVID-19 Pandemic, a real estate crisis, and a slow economy have led to dramatic underperformance for Chinese equities over the past few years. For example, over the past five years, the iShares China Large-Cap ETF an ETF that allows investors to gain exposure to a broad range of large-cap Chinese stocks) has nearly been cut in half, while the S&P 500 is up more than 80% over the same period!
However, despite the poor performance in Chinese equities lately, it's always worth keeping them on your radar due to their innate ability to trend well once they turn. For example, the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF, which tracks the performance of a basket of Chinese internet and e-commerce companies, doubled from April 2020 to February 2021.
Below are five reasons Chinese stocks have bottomed including:
FXI Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern
The FXI ETF is probably the best proxy U.S.-based investors use to measure China. Currently, FXI is breaking out of a textbook inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Inverse head-and-shoulders patterns are considered bullish and are one of the most reliable indications of a potential trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Earnings Surprises & Turnarounds
Chinese internet companies like JD. Com and Bilibili are up more than 20% over the past few sessions after reporting solid earnings. BILI grew EPS 78% year-over-year and its fundamental picture is turning around rapidly.
Bad News Priced In?
Historically, equity markets have bottomed out on poor news. Between the potential banning of TikTok, the ailing Chinese real estate market, and sluggish growth, the worst may be behind the Chinese economy. Remember, U.S. equities bottomed after inflation levels hit the highest levels in more than 40 years.
Joining the AI Revolution
Last week, the Chinese government announced it is raising $27 billion for a semiconductor fund aimed at driving technologies such as artificial intelligence. AI-related stocks and their exploding earnings have been an integral part of the bull market in the U.S. and has the chance to do the same for China.
Insider Buying
Alibaba is China's e-commerce juggernaut. Recently, the company announced a $25 billion increase in share buybacks and over $200 million in insider purchases by CEO and founder Jack Ma and other insiders. The massive purchases show confidence in the Chinese economy and suggest that the lows are likely in for the stock.
Bottom Line
Despite recent challenges such as the COVID-19 pandemic, a real estate crisis, and a sluggish economy leading to a significant underperformance in Chinese equities over the past few years, there are indications that the Chinese market may be bottoming out.
Why Haven't You Looked at Zacks' Top Stocks?
Since 2000, our top stock-picking strategies have blown away the S&P's +7.0 average gain per year. Amazingly, they soared with average gains of +44.9%, +48.4% and +55.2% per year.
Today you can access their live picks without cost or obligation.
See Stocks Free >>
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performancefor information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.