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IPG (IPGP) Reliance on International Sales: What Investors Need to Know

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Have you assessed how the international operations of IPG Photonics (IPGP - Free Report) performed in the quarter ended June 2024? For this high-powered laser maker, possessing an expansive global footprint, parsing the trends of international revenues could be critical to gauge its financial resilience and growth prospects.

In the current era of a tightly interconnected global economy, the proficiency of a company to penetrate international markets significantly influences its financial health and trajectory of growth. For investors, the key is to grasp how reliant a company is on overseas markets, as this provides insights into the durability of its earnings, its ability to exploit different economic cycles, and its overall growth capabilities.

Being present in foreign markets serves as protection against local economic declines and helps benefit from more rapidly expanding economies. Yet, such expansion also introduces challenges related to currency fluctuations, geopolitical uncertainties and varied market behaviors.

In our recent assessment of IPGP's quarterly performance, we discovered notable trends in its overseas revenue sections, which are typically modeled and scrutinized by Wall Street analysts.

The recent quarter saw the company's total revenue reaching $257.65 million, marking a decline of 24.2% from the prior-year quarter. Next, we'll examine the breakdown of IPGP's revenue from abroad to comprehend the significance of its international presence.

Decoding IPGP's International Revenue Trends

Germany generated $20.81 million in revenues for the company in the last quarter, constituting 8.1% of the total. This represented a surprise of -7.1% compared to the $22.4 million projected by Wall Street analysts. Comparatively, in the previous quarter, Germany accounted for $20.02 million (7.9%), and in the year-ago quarter, it contributed $28.96 million (8.5%) to the total revenue.

During the quarter, Rest of the World contributed $3.48 million in revenue, making up 1.4% of the total revenue. When compared to the consensus estimate of $7.41 million, this meant a surprise of -53.09%. Looking back, Rest of the World contributed $4.12 million, or 1.6%, in the previous quarter, and $6.55 million, or 1.9%, in the same quarter of the previous year.

Other accounted for 10.7% of the company's total revenue during the quarter, translating to $27.64 million. Revenues from this region represented a surprise of -9.72%, with Wall Street analysts collectively expecting $30.62 million. When compared to the preceding quarter and the same quarter in the previous year, Other contributed $24.98 million (9.9%) and $38.06 million (11.2%) to the total revenue, respectively.

Of the total revenue, $53.72 million came from Other Europe during the last fiscal quarter, accounting for 20.9%. This represented a surprise of +28.71% as analysts had expected the region to contribute $41.74 million to the total revenue. In comparison, the region contributed $59.5 million, or 23.6%, and $72.87 million, or 21.4%, to total revenue in the previous and year-ago quarters, respectively.

Of the total revenue, $64.88 million came from China during the last fiscal quarter, accounting for 25.2%. This represented a surprise of +4.4% as analysts had expected the region to contribute $62.14 million to the total revenue. In comparison, the region contributed $62.73 million, or 24.9%, and $98.57 million, or 29%, to total revenue in the previous and year-ago quarters, respectively.

Japan accounted for 4.0% of the company's total revenue during the quarter, translating to $10.22 million. Revenues from this region represented a surprise of -49.93%, with Wall Street analysts collectively expecting $20.4 million. When compared to the preceding quarter and the same quarter in the previous year, Japan contributed $16.7 million (6.6%) and $16.75 million (4.9%) to the total revenue, respectively.

Anticipated Revenues in Overseas Markets

For the current fiscal quarter, it is anticipated by Wall Street analysts that IPG will report a total revenue of $230.84 million, which reflects a decline of 23.4% from the same quarter in the previous year. The revenue contributions are expected to be 9.6% from Germany ($22.23 million), 2.2% from Rest of the World ($5.07 million), 13.2% from Other ($30.44 million), 25.7% from Other Europe ($59.32 million), 30.3% from China ($69.94 million) and 8.8% from Japan ($20.4 million).

For the full year, the company is expected to generate $1.02 billion in total revenue, down 20.5% from the previous year. Revenues from Germany, Rest of the World, Other, Other Europe, China and Japan are expected to constitute 7.8% ($79.72 million), 2.6% ($26.3 million), 11.4% ($116.62 million), 20.8% ($212.24 million), 26% ($266.36 million) and 7.5% ($76.7 million) of the total, respectively.

Closing Remarks

IPG's reliance on international markets for revenues offers both opportunities and risks. Hence, keeping an eye on its international revenue trends could significantly help forecast the company's prospects.

In an environment where global interconnections and geopolitical skirmishes are intensifying, Wall Street analysts keep a keen eye on these trends, particularly for firms with overseas operations, to adjust their earnings predictions. Moreover, a range of other aspects, including how a company fares in its home country, significantly affects these projections.

Emphasizing a company's shifting earnings prospects is a key aspect of our approach at Zacks, especially since research has proven its substantial influence on a stock's price in the short run. This correlation is positively aligned, meaning that improved earnings projections tend to boost the stock's price.

The Zacks Rank, our proprietary stock rating tool, comes with an externally validated impressive track record. It effectively utilizes shifts in earnings projections to act as a dependable barometer for forecasting short-term stock price trends.

At present, IPG holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). This ranking implies that its near-term performance might mirror the overall market movement. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>

A Look at IPG's Recent Stock Price Performance

The stock has witnessed a decline of 15.4% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's a decrease of 2.9%. In the same interval, the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, to which IPG belongs, has registered a decrease of 8.7%. Over the past three months, the company's shares saw a decrease of 19.1%, while the S&P 500 increased by 5.9%. In comparison, the sector experienced an increase of 6.3% during this timeframe.

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