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Time to Buy Nvidia's Stock Ahead of its First Post-Split Earnings Report?

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Investors are highly anticipating Nvidia’s (NVDA - Free Report)  Q2 results on Wednesday, August 28 as this will be the chip giant’s first quarterly report since its 10-for-1 stock split in June.

As the leader in semiconductor chips that power artificial intelligence, Nvidia's stock is only up +4% post-split but has soared over +150% year to date. That said, let’s see if NVDA can get back to its stellar price performance as earnings approach.

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Nvidia’s Q2 Expectations

Based on Zacks estimates, Nvidia’s Q2 sales are thought to have soared 109% to $28.24 billion compared to $13.51 billion in the comparative quarter. Steller growth is expected on the bottom line as well with Q2 EPS expected at $0.63 versus $0.27 per share a year ago (EPS of $2.70/10).

Notably, Nvidia has surpassed earnings expectations for six consecutive quarters posting an average EPS surprise of 18.43% in its last four quarterly reports.

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Blackwell Update & Outlook

Wall Street will be looking for more updates on Nvidia’s Blackwell series chips which were delayed for three months due to design flaws and are now anticipated to launch during Q4. The Blackwell GPUs are expected to be the highest-performing AI chips on the market and should keep Nvidia ahead of AMD’s (AMD - Free Report)  MI300 chips while building on its current H200 series.

This may be critical to reconfirming Nvidia’s enticing outlook with total sales projected to climb 94% in its current fiscal 2025 to $118.1 billion compared to $60.92 billion in FY24. Plus, FY26 sales are expected to leap another 31% to $154.61 billion.

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Even better, annual earnings are slated to soar 107% in FY25 and are forecasted to rise another 26% in FY26 to $3.40 per share.

Zacks Investment Research
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Monitoring Nvidia’s Valuation

Trading around $126, Nvidia’s stock is at a 48X forward earnings multiple which is a premium to the S&P 500’s 23.8X but near AMD’s 46.1X. Furthermore, NVDA trades well below its five-year high of 122.1X forward earnings and at a discount to the median of 55.6X during this period.

Zacks Investment Research
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Bottom Line

Ahead of its Q2 report, Nvidia’s stock lands a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). While Nvidia's valuation has become more reasonable, reaching or exceeding Q2 expectations may be critical to more upside along with reconfirming the Q4 launch of its Blackwell series chips which will be crucial to continuing its robust growth.


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