Back to top

Image: Bigstock

NMI Holdings Inc (NMIH) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Have you been paying attention to shares of NMI Holdings (NMIH - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 7.6% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $42.09 in the previous session. NMI Holdings has gained 38.7% since the start of the year compared to the 16.6% move for the Zacks Finance sector and the 27.8% return for the Zacks Insurance - Property and Casualty industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on July 30, 2024, NMI Holdings reported EPS of $1.2 versus consensus estimate of $1.04 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 2.11%.

For the current fiscal year, NMI Holdings is expected to post earnings of $4.50 per share on $650.03 million in revenues. This represents a 17.19% change in EPS on a 12.27% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $4.74 per share on $692.83 million in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 5.33% and 6.58%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

NMI Holdings may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

NMI Holdings has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are D and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 9.2X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 13.6X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 9.9X versus its peer group's average of 13.2X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.94. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, NMI Holdings currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if NMI Holdings passes the test. Thus, it seems as though NMI Holdings shares could have potential in the weeks and months to come.

How Does NMIH Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of NMIH have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS - Free Report) . AXS has a Zacks Rank of # 1 (Strong Buy) and a Value Score of A, a Growth Score of C, and a Momentum Score of A.

Earnings were strong last quarter. Axis Capital Holdings Limited beat our consensus estimate by 16.27%, and for the current fiscal year, AXS is expected to post earnings of $10.71 per share on revenue of $6.13 billion.

Shares of Axis Capital Holdings Limited have gained 6.5% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 7.42X and a P/CF of 7.5X.

The Insurance - Property and Casualty industry is in the top 8% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for NMIH and AXS, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.


See More Zacks Research for These Tickers


Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:


Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) - free report >>

NMI Holdings Inc (NMIH) - free report >>

Published in