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Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Vail Resorts (MTN) Q4 Earnings

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Vail Resorts (MTN - Free Report) reported $265.39 million in revenue for the quarter ended July 2024, representing a year-over-year decline of 1.6%. EPS of -$4.67 for the same period compares to -$3.35 a year ago.

The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.14% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $262.4 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being -$4.28, the EPS surprise was -9.11%.

While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.

Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.

Here is how Vail Resorts performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:

  • Mountain - Total skier visits: 0.7 thousand versus 0.83 thousand estimated by three analysts on average.
  • Lodging - Managed condominium statistics - RevPAR: $46.30 versus the three-analyst average estimate of $56.85.
  • Lodging - Owned hotel statistics - RevPAR: $175.22 versus $171.61 estimated by three analysts on average.
  • Mountain - ETP: $69.04 versus the three-analyst average estimate of $66.06.
  • Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue: $89.42 million versus the six-analyst average estimate of $85.47 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +0.9%.
  • Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue: $175.88 million compared to the $175.03 million average estimate based on six analysts. The reported number represents a change of -2.8% year over year.
  • Net Revenue- Resort net revenue: $265.30 million versus $257.70 million estimated by four analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -1.6% change.
  • Net Revenue- Real estate: $0.09 million versus the four-analyst average estimate of $0.16 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of -12.2%.
  • Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Other: $75.86 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $65.64 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +10.5%.
  • Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue- Managed condominium rooms: $10.50 million versus $14 million estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -26% change.
  • Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Retail/rental: $24.30 million versus the three-analyst average estimate of $24.98 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of -7.2%.
  • Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Dining: $17.96 million compared to the $17.37 million average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of +1.6% year over year.
View all Key Company Metrics for Vail Resorts here>>>

Shares of Vail Resorts have returned +1.9% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.7% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

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