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Why Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Oils and Energy Stocks Now
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Earnings are arguably the most important single number on a company's quarterly financial report. Wall Street clearly dives into all of the other metrics and management's input, but the EPS figure helps cut through all the noise.
We know earnings results are vital, but how a company performs compared to bottom line expectations can be even more important when it comes to stock prices, especially in the near-term. This means that investors might want to take advantage of these earnings surprises.
The ability to identify stocks that are likely to top quarterly earnings expectations can be profitable, but it's no simple task. Here at Zacks, our Earnings ESP filter helps make things easier.
The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained
The Zacks Earnings ESP, or Expected Surprise Prediction, aims to find earnings surprises by focusing on the most recent analyst revisions. The basic premise is that if an analyst reevaluates their earnings estimate ahead of an earnings release, it means they likely have new information that could possibly be more accurate.
The core of the ESP model is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, where the resulting percentage difference between the two equals the Expected Surprise Prediction. The Zacks Rank is also factored into the ESP metric to better help find companies that appear poised to top their next bottom-line consensus estimate, which will hopefully help lift the stock price.
In fact, when we combined a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time. Perhaps most importantly, using these parameters has helped produce 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.
Stocks with a #3 (Hold) ranking, which is most stocks covered at 60%, are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. But stocks that fall into the #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) ranking, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market. Strong Buy stocks should outperform more than any other rank.
Should You Consider Exxon Mobil?
Now that we understand what the ESP is and how beneficial it can be, let's dive into a stock that currently fits the bill. Exxon Mobil (XOM - Free Report) earns a #3 (Hold) right now and its Most Accurate Estimate sits at $1.98 a share, just 23 days from its upcoming earnings release on October 25, 2024.
By taking the percentage difference between the $1.98 Most Accurate Estimate and the $1.97 Zacks Consensus Estimate, Exxon Mobil has an Earnings ESP of +0.78%. Investors should also know that XOM is one of a large group of stocks with positive ESPs. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
XOM is one of just a large database of Oils and Energy stocks with positive ESPs. Another solid-looking stock is FuelCell Energy (FCEL - Free Report) .
Slated to report earnings on December 17, 2024, FuelCell Energy holds a #2 (Buy) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is -$0.06 a share 76 days from its next quarterly update.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FuelCell Energy is -$0.06, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of +5.26%.
XOM and FCEL's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>
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Why Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Oils and Energy Stocks Now
Earnings are arguably the most important single number on a company's quarterly financial report. Wall Street clearly dives into all of the other metrics and management's input, but the EPS figure helps cut through all the noise.
We know earnings results are vital, but how a company performs compared to bottom line expectations can be even more important when it comes to stock prices, especially in the near-term. This means that investors might want to take advantage of these earnings surprises.
The ability to identify stocks that are likely to top quarterly earnings expectations can be profitable, but it's no simple task. Here at Zacks, our Earnings ESP filter helps make things easier.
The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained
The Zacks Earnings ESP, or Expected Surprise Prediction, aims to find earnings surprises by focusing on the most recent analyst revisions. The basic premise is that if an analyst reevaluates their earnings estimate ahead of an earnings release, it means they likely have new information that could possibly be more accurate.
The core of the ESP model is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, where the resulting percentage difference between the two equals the Expected Surprise Prediction. The Zacks Rank is also factored into the ESP metric to better help find companies that appear poised to top their next bottom-line consensus estimate, which will hopefully help lift the stock price.
In fact, when we combined a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time. Perhaps most importantly, using these parameters has helped produce 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.
Stocks with a #3 (Hold) ranking, which is most stocks covered at 60%, are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. But stocks that fall into the #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) ranking, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market. Strong Buy stocks should outperform more than any other rank.
Should You Consider Exxon Mobil?
Now that we understand what the ESP is and how beneficial it can be, let's dive into a stock that currently fits the bill. Exxon Mobil (XOM - Free Report) earns a #3 (Hold) right now and its Most Accurate Estimate sits at $1.98 a share, just 23 days from its upcoming earnings release on October 25, 2024.
By taking the percentage difference between the $1.98 Most Accurate Estimate and the $1.97 Zacks Consensus Estimate, Exxon Mobil has an Earnings ESP of +0.78%. Investors should also know that XOM is one of a large group of stocks with positive ESPs. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
XOM is one of just a large database of Oils and Energy stocks with positive ESPs. Another solid-looking stock is FuelCell Energy (FCEL - Free Report) .
Slated to report earnings on December 17, 2024, FuelCell Energy holds a #2 (Buy) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is -$0.06 a share 76 days from its next quarterly update.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FuelCell Energy is -$0.06, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of +5.26%.
XOM and FCEL's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>