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Unlocking Microchip Tech (MCHP) International Revenues: Trends, Surprises, and Prospects

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Have you assessed how the international operations of Microchip Technology (MCHP - Free Report) performed in the quarter ended September 2024? For this chipmaker, possessing an expansive global footprint, parsing the trends of international revenues could be critical to gauge its financial resilience and growth prospects.

In the current era of a tightly interconnected global economy, the proficiency of a company to penetrate international markets significantly influences its financial health and trajectory of growth. For investors, the key is to grasp how reliant a company is on overseas markets, as this provides insights into the durability of its earnings, its ability to exploit different economic cycles, and its overall growth capabilities.

International market involvement serves as insurance against economic downturns at home and enables engagement with economies that are growing more quickly. Still, this move toward diversification is not without its challenges, as it involves navigating through the fluctuations of currencies, geopolitical threats, and the distinctive nature of various markets.

While analyzing MCHP's performance for the last quarter, we found some intriguing trends in revenues from its overseas segments that Wall Street analysts commonly model and monitor.

The company's total revenue for the quarter amounted to $1.16 billion, showing decrease of 48.4%. We will now explore the breakdown of MCHP's overseas revenue to assess the impact of its international operations.

Decoding MCHP's International Revenue Trends

During the quarter, Europe contributed $212.8 million in revenue, making up 18.28% of the total revenue. When compared to the consensus estimate of $271.23 million, this meant a surprise of -21.54%. Looking back, Europe contributed $271.9 million, or 21.90%, in the previous quarter, and $558 million, or 24.75%, in the same quarter of the previous year.

Of the total revenue, $580.8 million came from Asia during the last fiscal quarter, accounting for 49.91%. This represented a surprise of +8.09% as analysts had expected the region to contribute $537.32 million to the total revenue. In comparison, the region contributed $595.2 million, or 47.95%, and $1.04 billion, or 46.18%, to total revenue in the previous and year-ago quarters, respectively.

Projected Revenues in Foreign Markets

Wall Street analysts expect Microchip Tech to report a total revenue of $1.06 billion in the current fiscal quarter, which suggests a decline of 39.9% from the prior-year quarter. Revenue shares from Europe and Asia are predicted to be 26.8% and 54%, corresponding to amounts of $284.79 million and $572.92 million, respectively.

Analysts expect the company to report a total annual revenue of $4.6 billion for the full year, marking a decrease of 39.8% compared to last year. The expected revenue contributions from Europe and Asia are projected to be 24.3% ($1.12 billion) and 49.8% ($2.29 billion) of the total revenue, in that order.

Key Takeaways

Relying on international markets for revenues, Microchip Tech faces both prospects and perils. Thus, tracking the company's international revenue trends is essential for accurately projecting its future trajectory.

With the increasing intricacies of global interdependence and geopolitical strife, Wall Street analysts meticulously observe these patterns, especially for companies with an international footprint, to tweak their forecasts of earnings. Importantly, several additional factors, such as a company's domestic market status, also impact these earnings forecasts.

Here at Zacks, we put a great deal of emphasis on a company's changing earnings outlook, as empirical research has shown that's a powerful force driving a stock's near-term price performance. Quite naturally, the correlation is positive here -- an upward revision in earnings estimates drives the stock price higher.

The Zacks Rank, our proprietary stock rating tool, comes with an externally validated impressive track record. It effectively utilizes shifts in earnings projections to act as a dependable barometer for forecasting short-term stock price trends.

At the moment, Microchip Tech has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), signifying that it may underperform the overall market trend in the upcoming period. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>

Reviewing Microchip Tech's Recent Stock Price Trends

Over the past month, the stock has seen a decline of 6.6% in its value, whereas the Zacks S&P 500 composite has posted an increase of 4.4%. The Zacks Computer and Technology sector, Microchip Tech's industry group, has ascended 4.9% over the identical span. In the past three months, there's been a decline of 9.9% in the company's stock price, against a rise of 13.1% in the S&P 500 index. The broader sector has increased by 14% during this interval.

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