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Twilio Inc. (TWLO) Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?
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Have you been paying attention to shares of Twilio (TWLO - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 49.3% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $108.44 in the previous session. Twilio has gained 38.9% since the start of the year compared to the 28.5% move for the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the 33.4% return for the Zacks Internet - Software industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 30, 2024, Twilio reported EPS of $1.02 versus consensus estimate of $0.87.
For the current fiscal year, Twilio is expected to post earnings of $3.64 per share on $4.41 billion in revenues. This represents a 48.57% change in EPS on a 6.28% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $4.30 per share on $4.75 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 18.05% and 7.59%, respectively.
Valuation Metrics
Twilio may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Twilio has a Value Score of F. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 28.9X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 33.1X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 129X versus its peer group's average of 28.7X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.69. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
Zacks Rank
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Twilio currently has a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Twilio fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Twilio shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.
How Does TWLO Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of TWLO have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Audioeye, Inc. (AEYE - Free Report) . AEYE has a Zacks Rank of # 2 (Buy) and a Value Score of F, a Growth Score of A, and a Momentum Score of A.
Earnings were strong last quarter. Audioeye, Inc. beat our consensus estimate by 14.29%, and for the current fiscal year, AEYE is expected to post earnings of $0.69 per share on revenue of $35.21 million.
Shares of Audioeye, Inc. have gained 18% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 50.92X and a P/CF of 880.99X.
The Internet - Software industry is in the top 14% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for TWLO and AEYE, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.
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Twilio Inc. (TWLO) Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?
Have you been paying attention to shares of Twilio (TWLO - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 49.3% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $108.44 in the previous session. Twilio has gained 38.9% since the start of the year compared to the 28.5% move for the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the 33.4% return for the Zacks Internet - Software industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 30, 2024, Twilio reported EPS of $1.02 versus consensus estimate of $0.87.
For the current fiscal year, Twilio is expected to post earnings of $3.64 per share on $4.41 billion in revenues. This represents a 48.57% change in EPS on a 6.28% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $4.30 per share on $4.75 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 18.05% and 7.59%, respectively.
Valuation Metrics
Twilio may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Twilio has a Value Score of F. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 28.9X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 33.1X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 129X versus its peer group's average of 28.7X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.69. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
Zacks Rank
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Twilio currently has a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Twilio fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Twilio shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.
How Does TWLO Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of TWLO have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Audioeye, Inc. (AEYE - Free Report) . AEYE has a Zacks Rank of # 2 (Buy) and a Value Score of F, a Growth Score of A, and a Momentum Score of A.
Earnings were strong last quarter. Audioeye, Inc. beat our consensus estimate by 14.29%, and for the current fiscal year, AEYE is expected to post earnings of $0.69 per share on revenue of $35.21 million.
Shares of Audioeye, Inc. have gained 18% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 50.92X and a P/CF of 880.99X.
The Internet - Software industry is in the top 14% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for TWLO and AEYE, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.