Back to top

Image: Shutterstock

Here's Why Retain Strategy is Apt for the Delek US Stock Now

Read MoreHide Full Article

Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK - Free Report) is a key player in the U.S. downstream energy sector, operating in refining and logistics. The company refines crude oil into essential fuels like petrol, diesel and aviation fuel while also managing the transportation and storage of these products. With strategically located refineries and a strong logistics network, DK plays an important role in keeping fuel supplies steady. However, like most energy stocks, DK has experienced volatility due to fluctuating refining margins, crude oil prices and industry dynamics. While some investors see potential for long-term gains, others remain cautious about short-term challenges.

As the energy sector grows, the DK stock remains on the radar of many investors looking for potential opportunities. While the stock has experienced highs and lows, the question remains: should investors hold on, buy more or stay on the sidelines?

Let us discuss deeper into the key factors driving DK’s performance and determine whether now is the right time to invest or if a wait-and-watch approach is more practical.

 

What is Driving the DK Stock?

Diversified Business Model: Brentwood, TN-based company is active in multiple areas—refining and logistics. This diversification helps the company stay stable even if one segment faces challenges. The logistics segment provides steady, fee-based earnings, while the refining business ensures regular cash flow. By making these segments work together efficiently, DK reduces costs and improves profits. This makes it stronger compared with companies that focus only on refining.

Strong Refining Business: DK runs four well-placed refineries with a total capacity of 3,02,000 barrels per day. These refineries benefit from strong refining margins, especially in the Mid-Continent and Gulf Coast regions. The refining segment has always been a key source of earnings for DK. Since refineries are located close to major crude oil supply hubs, the company can source cheaper raw materials, making it more profitable than competitors with higher crude costs.

Strong Presence in the Permian Basin: DK operates in the Permian Basin, one of the biggest oil-producing areas in the United States. This gives it a big advantage, as DK can get crude oil at lower prices, reducing refining costs. Additionally, its partnership with Delek Logistics Partners (DKL - Free Report) helps in the smooth transport and storage of crude oil. This ensures steady operations and protects the company from supply-chain problems that may affect other refiners.

Investments in Refining Equipment: DK has been upgrading its refineries to improve operations and get more out of each barrel of crude. These upgrades help lower costs, improve fuel quality and make the company’s facilities more competitive compared with older, less efficient plants.

While DK has good growth potential, there are several challenges that could affect its performance.

Key Challenges Impacting DK’s Future

Risk of Supply Disruptions: Delek depends on a steady crude oil supply and working pipelines to move its products. Any disruptions, whether from global conflicts, weather events or mechanical failures, could hurt production and lead to financial losses.

Dependence on Permian Crude Production: While DK benefits from its proximity to the Permian Basin, any slowdown in production from the region could negatively impact its crude supply advantage. Factors such as reduced drilling activity, regulatory restrictions or lower oil prices could lead to lower crude output, potentially increasing DK’s feedstock costs. If DK loses its cost advantage due to Permian production declines, it may struggle to compete with larger refiners that have more diversified crude sourcing strategies.

Increasing Competition From Larger Refiners: DK faces competition from larger refiners, which have superior economies of scale, greater refining flexibility and stronger financial resources. This competitive disadvantage could impact market share and profitability.

DK's Underperformance Compared With Peers: In the last three months, DK's share price has lost 18.5%, which is concerning for investors. This decline is especially noticeable compared with the overall oil and gas sector, which saw a 3.9% increase. Additionally, other companies in the Refining and Marketing Oil and Gas sub-industry, such as TotalEnergies (TTE - Free Report) with an 18.7% rise and Equinor (EQNR - Free Report) with an 11.7% rise, have performed better than DK. This disparity likely causes concern among DK shareholders about its performance and the value of their investment.

 

Analysing 3-Month Price Movement

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Final Thoughts on the DK Stock

DK has a strong, diversified business model, with refining and logistics segments that help stabilize its performance even when one area faces challenges. The company’s refining operations are robust, with well-placed refineries and strong margins in key regions like the Mid-Continent and Gulf Coast. Additionally, DK’s position in the Permian Basin allows it to access cheaper crude, enhancing profitability.

However, Delek faces several challenges, including potential supply disruptions, competition in its retail fuel business and reliance on the Permian Basin for crude supply. Moreover, increasing competition from larger refiners and recent underperformance compared with peers are concerns for the company’s growth.

Given this mix of strengths and potential challenges, investors should consider adopting a hold strategy for now, waiting for a more opportune entry point before adding this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock to their portfolios.

DK has a strong, diversified business model, with refining and logistics segments that help stabilize its performance even when one area faces challenges. The company’s refining operations are robust, with well-placed refineries and strong margins in key regions like the Mid-Continent and Gulf Coast. Additionally, DK’s position in the Permian Basin allows it to access cheaper crude, enhancing profitability.
 
However, Delek faces several challenges, including potential supply disruptions, competition in its retail fuel business and reliance on the Permian Basin for crude supply. Moreover, increasing competition from larger refiners and recent underperformance compared with peers are concerns for the company’s growth.
 
Given this mix of strengths and potential challenges, investors should consider adopting a hold strategy for now, waiting for a more opportune entry point before adding this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock to their portfolios.

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Published in