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Why Embraer S.A. (ERJ) Could be a Great Value Pick Now
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Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Embraer S.A. (ERJ - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
PE Ratio
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Embraer S.A. has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 8.2, as you can see in the chart below:
This level is significantly favorable with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares in at about 20.8. If we focus on the stock’s long-term PE trend, the current level puts Embraer S.A.’s current PE ratio below its midpoint (which is 14.3) over the past three years. Moreover, the current level is way below the highs for this stock, suggesting that the stock is undervalued compared to its historical levels.
Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with its industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 23.2. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Embraer S.A. has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 10.6, so it is fair to expect an increase in the company’s share price in the near future.
P/S Ratio
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, Embraer S.A. has a P/S ratio of about 0.6. This is significantly lower than the industry’s average, which comes in at 1.5 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.
If anything, this suggests some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Embraer S.A. currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of A, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes ERJ a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.
For example, the PEG ratio for Embraer S.A. is just 0.6, a level that is substantially lower than the industry average of 1.9. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Additionally, its P/CF ratio (another great indicator of value) comes in at 5.4, which is substantially better than the industry average of 16. Clearly, ERJ is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Embraer S.A. might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of B and a Momentum score of C. This gives ERJ a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of A. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been mixed at best. The full-year 2017 has seen four estimates go higher in the past thirty days and none lower, while the full-year 2018 estimate has seen no upward revisions and five downward revision in the same time period.
As a result, consensus estimate for 2017 has increased by 16% in the past month, while 2018 estimate has fallen by 35.2%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronautica Price and Consensus
This mixed trend is why the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.
Bottom Line
Embraer S.A. is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. A decent industry rank (top 30% out of more than 250 industries) further supports the growth potential of the stock. Also, over the past one year, its industry has clearly outperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
However, with a Zacks Rank #3, it’s hard to get too excited about the stock. So value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.
Today's Stocks from Zacks' Hottest Strategies
It's hard to believe, even for us at Zacks. But while the market gained +18.8% from 2016 - Q1 2017, our top stock-picking screens have returned +157.0%, +128.0%, +97.8%, +94.7%, and +90.2% respectively.
And this outperformance has not just been a recent phenomenon. Over the years it has been remarkably consistent. From 2000 - Q1 2017, the composite yearly average gain for these strategies has beaten the market more than 11X over. Maybe even more remarkable is the fact that we're willing to share their latest stocks with you without cost or obligation.
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Why Embraer S.A. (ERJ) Could be a Great Value Pick Now
Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Embraer S.A. (ERJ - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
PE Ratio
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Embraer S.A. has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 8.2, as you can see in the chart below:
This level is significantly favorable with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares in at about 20.8. If we focus on the stock’s long-term PE trend, the current level puts Embraer S.A.’s current PE ratio below its midpoint (which is 14.3) over the past three years. Moreover, the current level is way below the highs for this stock, suggesting that the stock is undervalued compared to its historical levels.
Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with its industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 23.2. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Embraer S.A. has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 10.6, so it is fair to expect an increase in the company’s share price in the near future.
P/S Ratio
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, Embraer S.A. has a P/S ratio of about 0.6. This is significantly lower than the industry’s average, which comes in at 1.5 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.
If anything, this suggests some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Embraer S.A. currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of A, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes ERJ a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.
For example, the PEG ratio for Embraer S.A. is just 0.6, a level that is substantially lower than the industry average of 1.9. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Additionally, its P/CF ratio (another great indicator of value) comes in at 5.4, which is substantially better than the industry average of 16. Clearly, ERJ is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Embraer S.A. might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of B and a Momentum score of C. This gives ERJ a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of A. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been mixed at best. The full-year 2017 has seen four estimates go higher in the past thirty days and none lower, while the full-year 2018 estimate has seen no upward revisions and five downward revision in the same time period.
As a result, consensus estimate for 2017 has increased by 16% in the past month, while 2018 estimate has fallen by 35.2%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronautica Price and Consensus
Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronautica Price and Consensus | Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronautica Quote
This mixed trend is why the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.
Bottom Line
Embraer S.A. is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. A decent industry rank (top 30% out of more than 250 industries) further supports the growth potential of the stock. Also, over the past one year, its industry has clearly outperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
However, with a Zacks Rank #3, it’s hard to get too excited about the stock. So value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.
Today's Stocks from Zacks' Hottest Strategies
It's hard to believe, even for us at Zacks. But while the market gained +18.8% from 2016 - Q1 2017, our top stock-picking screens have returned +157.0%, +128.0%, +97.8%, +94.7%, and +90.2% respectively.
And this outperformance has not just been a recent phenomenon. Over the years it has been remarkably consistent. From 2000 - Q1 2017, the composite yearly average gain for these strategies has beaten the market more than 11X over. Maybe even more remarkable is the fact that we're willing to share their latest stocks with you without cost or obligation.
See Them Free>>