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RH, Papa John's, Tesla and Microsoft highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day

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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – October 25, 2018 – Zacks Equity Research RH (RH - Free Report) as the Bull of the Day, Papa John's (PZZA - Free Report) as the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis on Tesla (TSLA - Free Report) and Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) .

Here is a synopsis of all five stocks:

Bull of the Day:

Shares of RH, formally Restoration Hardware, have plummeted recently, but the company’s bottom-line estimates appear strong. RH’s plans to revamp its stores and its business model also look poised to pay off.

Overview

RH saw its bottom line soar from $0.65 per share in the year-ago period to post adjusted second-quarter earnings of $2.05 per share. This crushed our Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74 per share. The firm also raised its fiscal 2018 earnings guidance.

Investors were displeased to see RH fall short of quarterly revenues estimates. However, the Corte Madera, California-based company’s comparable brand revenues climbed 5%.

On top of that, RH’s long-term outlook appears solid based on the success of its transformation into a more membership-based retailer, where consumers pay an annual fee for 25% savings on all full-priced items and an additional 20% on all sale items. The company has also slowly tried to become a kind of high-end club that offers a more complete brick-and-mortar retail experience. This includes new restaurant and cafe offerings.

Plus, the company said it has streamlined its distribution process and has sold more goods at full price. “Due to the earnings power of our new operating model, we are also updating our previous long-term targets,” CEO Gary Friedman said in a September company statement.

Looking ahead, RH said it sees a “clear path” to $4 to $5 billion in North American revenues. In total, the company thinks its international growth could see it become a $7 to $10 billion dollar global brand. The company also reaffirmed its long-term revenue growth targets of 8% to 12% and earnings growth of 15% to 20% annually.

Price Movement

Now that we have covered RH’s business and some of its overarching outlook, it’s time to take a peek at its stock price performance over the last few years. We can clearly see that RH stock has come in well above its industry’s average over the last three years.

It is also worth noting that RH has soared over 260% in the last 24 months. This tops the S&P 500’s roughly 28% climb and beats its industry’s 12% jump. However, 2018 has not been as kind to RH. Shares of RH closed regular trading Wednesday at $104.28 per share, down roughly 36% from their 52-week high of $164.49 per share.

Bear of the Day:

Papa John's has seen its stock price surge over 16% in the past three months. Yet, it appears the embattled pizza giant is headed in the wrong direction for the foreseeable future. 

Overview

At this point, many investors have likely heard about the scandals involving Papa John's founder John Schnatter. These issues aside, Papa John’s has struggled mightily as of late. The company saw its adjusted Q2 earnings sink nearly 25% from the year-ago period. Worse yet, North American comparable sales sunk 6%, while international comps dipped 0.8%.

The company also revised downward its 2018 earnings outlook on the back of declining sales trends. Plus, Yum!'s Pizza Hut will now receive the positive exposure that Papa John’s once pointed to as a huge reason for the company’s growth and success as the official pizza sponsor of the NFL.

With that said, rumors have swirled for some time now that the Louisville, Kentucky-based pizza chain might possibly be an acquisition target.

Stock Price Movement

As we mentioned at the top, PZZA stock has jumped roughly 16% during the last three months. This tops its industry’s average climb of 7%. With that said, shares of Papa John’s are down over 23% over the last year and 34% during the past two years. 

Investors will also note that PZZA has experienced a significant amount of turbulence over the last five years. Papa John’s stock closed regular trading Wednesday at $51.86 per share, which marked a roughly 25% downturn from its 52-week high of $69.45 per share.

Outlook & Earnings Trends  

And now we get to the why Papa John’s is our Bear of the Day. Our current Zacks Consensus Estimate is calling for the firm’s quarterly revenues to fall by roughly 11% to hit $384.44 million. PZZA's full-year revenues are also projected to sink 9.4%.      

Worst still, PZZA’s adjusted quarterly earnings are projected to plummet 61.7% to $0.23 per share. Plus, the chain’s adjusted full-year earnings are expected to sink 42.4%.

Additional content:

Tesla Electrifies in Q3, Microsoft Also Beats

 

Tesla has electrified the late trading markets today following its Q3 2018 earnings release after today's closing bell. Earnings of +$2.90 per share simply obliterated expectations of a loss of 53 cents for the quarter. Sales of $6.82 billion, an all-time high for the Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company, rose 128% year over year, and well above the $5.67 billion analysts had been looking for.

Strength in delivery of its Model 3 -- from just under 41K units delivered a quarter ago to nearly 70K in the September quarter -- spurred Tesla in its letter to shareholders. This helped push Auto Gross Margins to 26%, freeing up cash flow of $881 million, with $731 million in cash and equivalents.

Even more impressive, Tesla has been a company under fire in recent months for CEO Elon Musk's erratic behavior, finally resulting in an SEC agreement whereby Musk stepped down as Chairman of the company he founded. Tesla had also missed earnings estimates 8 times in its past 14 quarters. But now the smoke looks to have cleared; shares of TSLA are up 8.5% in after-hours trading.

Zacks Strategist David Borun has been following Tesla closely for months now, and his hot-take on the earnings release today was that the strength in the company's quarter is completely warranted:

"There's nothing funny. They didn't even sell any ZEV credits or anything shady like that. They just sold lots of cars and made money on them, just like a normal business.

"Instead of the production cost of Model 3s going up during the quarter, labor costs per vehicle actually decreased 30%.

"The only even remotely negative item is the mention of 40% tariffs in China, although this didn't significantly affect Model S and X deliveries there during the quarter."

In quoting the letter to shareholders, Borun pointed out, "Demand in china remains challenging... we managed to offset the decline there with growth in North America and Europe."

Click here for a link to TSLA's earnings.

Unfortunately for investors today who've endured another difficult regular trading session with indexes awash in red ink, Microsoft's fiscal Q1 earnings release was not enough to turn things around in the after-market. Although earnings of $1.14 per share represented a 19% positive surprise from the Zacks consensus and up 36% year over year. Revenues of $29.08 billion also topped expectations and grew 19% from fiscal Q1 2018.

This marks the fifth straight quarter without an earnings miss for the Zacks Rank #2 (Buy)-rated tech giant. Its high-growth Azure server business grew 76%, helping bring the server products sector overall up 28% year over year. Dynamics products and cloud services rose 20%, led by 51% revenue growth in the quarter. The company's LinkedIn segment grew 33% from a year ago. Microsoft will provide full-year guidance on its upcoming conference call. For more on MSFT's Earnings, click here.

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