Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put The Michaels Companies, Inc. stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
PE Ratio
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Michaels has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 3.03, as you can see in the chart below:
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This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 18.74. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, Michaels’s current PE level puts it below its midpoint of 12.07 over the past five years. Moreover, the current level stands well below the highs for the stock, suggesting that it can be a solid entry point.
Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 28.24. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Michaels has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 3.07, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for Michaels stock in the near term too .
P/S Ratio
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, Michaels has a P/S ratio of about 0.22. This is a bit lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.36x right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.
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If anything, this suggests some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Michaels currently has a Value Score of A, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Michaels a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.
For example, the PEG ratio for Michaels is just 0.54, a level that is far lower than the industry average of 1.48. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Clearly, MIK is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Michaels might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth Score of C and a Momentum Score of D. This gives MIK a Zacks VGM score — or its overarching fundamental grade — of B. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been mixed at best. The current year has seen none estimates go higher in the past sixty days compared to seven lower, while the next year estimate has seen one up and five down in the same time period.
This has had just a small impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate has dropped by 5.6% in the past two months, while the next year estimate has inched lower by 6.1%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
The Michaels Companies, Inc. Price and Consensus
Apart from this dismal trend, the stock has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) which is why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.
Bottom Line
Michaels is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. However, with a sluggish industry rank (among Bottom 39% of more than 250 industries) and a Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall. In fact, over the past two years, the Zacks Retail-Miscellaneous industry has clearly underperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
.jpg)
So, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.
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Should Value Investors Pick Michaels Companies (MIK) Stock?
Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put The Michaels Companies, Inc. stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
PE Ratio
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Michaels has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 3.03, as you can see in the chart below:
This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 18.74. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, Michaels’s current PE level puts it below its midpoint of 12.07 over the past five years. Moreover, the current level stands well below the highs for the stock, suggesting that it can be a solid entry point.
Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 28.24. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Michaels has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 3.07, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for Michaels stock in the near term too .
P/S Ratio
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, Michaels has a P/S ratio of about 0.22. This is a bit lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.36x right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.
If anything, this suggests some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Michaels currently has a Value Score of A, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Michaels a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.
For example, the PEG ratio for Michaels is just 0.54, a level that is far lower than the industry average of 1.48. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Clearly, MIK is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Michaels might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth Score of C and a Momentum Score of D. This gives MIK a Zacks VGM score — or its overarching fundamental grade — of B. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been mixed at best. The current year has seen none estimates go higher in the past sixty days compared to seven lower, while the next year estimate has seen one up and five down in the same time period.
This has had just a small impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate has dropped by 5.6% in the past two months, while the next year estimate has inched lower by 6.1%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
The Michaels Companies, Inc. Price and Consensus
The Michaels Companies, Inc. price-consensus-chart | The Michaels Companies, Inc. Quote
Apart from this dismal trend, the stock has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) which is why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.
Bottom Line
Michaels is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. However, with a sluggish industry rank (among Bottom 39% of more than 250 industries) and a Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall. In fact, over the past two years, the Zacks Retail-Miscellaneous industry has clearly underperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
So, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.
Radical New Technology Creates $12.3 Trillion Opportunity
Imagine buying Microsoft stock in the early days of personal computers… or Motorola after it released the world’s first cell phone. These technologies changed our lives and created massive profits for investors.
Today, we’re on the brink of the next quantum leap in technology. 7 innovative companies are leading this “4th Industrial Revolution” - and early investors stand to earn the biggest profits.
See the 7 breakthrough stocks now>>