We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. This includes personalizing content and advertising. To learn more, click here. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Service.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: JPMorgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America
Read MoreHide Full Article
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – June 12, 2020 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: JPMorgan (JPM - Free Report) , Citigroup (C - Free Report) , Goldman Sachs (GS - Free Report) and Bank of America (BAC - Free Report) .
Here are highlights from Thursday’s Analyst Blog:
No Rate Hikes til 2022: What This Means for Banks
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday kept interest rates unchanged at 0.00-0.25%, with indications that it will be at the same level through 2022. Nevertheless, the central bank projects economic growth for the next two years.
The post-meeting statement noted, “The Committee expects to maintain this target range until it is confident that the economy has weathered recent events and is on track to achieve its maximum employment and price stability goals.”
Also, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the post-FOMC meeting virtual press conference said that the central bank will do "whatever we can and for as long as it takes" to minimize the damage to the economy. In order to continue supporting the U.S. economy, the Fed plans to continue purchasing bonds and is “committed to using the full range of tools to support the economy.”
The central bank provided a grim outlook for this year. It now projects GDP to contract 6.5% this year (against growth of 2% estimated in December 2019) due to coronavirus-induced economic slowdown faced by the country. Further, unemployment rate and inflation will be 9.3% and a mere 0.8% (way below the central bank’s target of 2%), respectively. For 2021 and 2022, the central bank projects GDP growth rate of 5% and 3.5%, respectively.
Where do Bank Stocks Stand Now?
Powell said, “We're not even thinking about thinking about raising rates.” This came as a big blow to bank stocks.
Following these developments, 10-year Treasury yields witnessed the biggest daily drop in almost two months. Also, the finance sector indexes like KBW Nasdaq Bank Index, SPDR KBW Regional Banking (KRE) and S&P Banks Select Industry Index plunged more than 6%, with bank stocks including JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America ending the day in red.
Decline in treasury yields hurts banks’ profitability as narrower spread between long-term and short-term rates hampers net interest margin growth. Also, with the economic slowdown, demand for loans will likely remain muted. Thus, banks’ net interest income (NII) growth will likely be muted as well.
The near-zero interest rates will hurt banks’ net interest margins (NIM). Banks earn net interest income by charging borrowers higher long-term interest rates, while doling out smaller interest rates to depositors. This results in an improvement in NIM. However, with growth in NII expected to get hampered, NIM will continue to contract.
With banks already facing higher delinquency rates mainly due to the virus outbreak, which hit all sectors hard, the Fed’s accommodative stance is a bad news.
Banks’ financials that depend on the health of the economy will be hurt. Therefore, banks’ earnings, which remained at record levels amid improving economy and higher interest rates, are likely to be adversely impacted this year.
Should You Stay Away From Banks?
Over the past decade, several operating efficiency strengthening measures and stringent regulatory capital requirements have made banks fundamentally stronger. Banks have moved away from risky operations and are now focused on strengthening core businesses.
A conservative lending policy, higher interest rates, strong balance sheet position and improving economy support the banks’ performance. Last year was one of the strongest growth years for banks since the financial crisis, despite the Fed cutting rates thrice to support the economy during the U.S.-China trade war.
Global diversification and changing mix to focus more on other revenue sources, along with technological upgrades are expected to continue supporting banks’ profitability. Also, there has been a rise in consolidation efforts among the industry players.
No doubt, near-zero rates are here to stay. But you can bet on banking stocks that are fundamentally strong and have long-term prospects. At the same time, keep your eyes open to near-term factors as well.
5 Stocks Set to Double
Each was hand-picked by a Zacks expert as the #1 favorite stock to gain +100% or more in 2020. Each comes from a different sector and has unique qualities and catalysts that could fuel exceptional growth.
Most of the stocks in this report are flying under Wall Street radar, which provides a great opportunity to get in on the ground floor.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit http://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
See More Zacks Research for These Tickers
Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:
Image: Bigstock
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: JPMorgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – June 12, 2020 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: JPMorgan (JPM - Free Report) , Citigroup (C - Free Report) , Goldman Sachs (GS - Free Report) and Bank of America (BAC - Free Report) .
Here are highlights from Thursday’s Analyst Blog:
No Rate Hikes til 2022: What This Means for Banks
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday kept interest rates unchanged at 0.00-0.25%, with indications that it will be at the same level through 2022. Nevertheless, the central bank projects economic growth for the next two years.
The post-meeting statement noted, “The Committee expects to maintain this target range until it is confident that the economy has weathered recent events and is on track to achieve its maximum employment and price stability goals.”
Also, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the post-FOMC meeting virtual press conference said that the central bank will do "whatever we can and for as long as it takes" to minimize the damage to the economy. In order to continue supporting the U.S. economy, the Fed plans to continue purchasing bonds and is “committed to using the full range of tools to support the economy.”
The central bank provided a grim outlook for this year. It now projects GDP to contract 6.5% this year (against growth of 2% estimated in December 2019) due to coronavirus-induced economic slowdown faced by the country. Further, unemployment rate and inflation will be 9.3% and a mere 0.8% (way below the central bank’s target of 2%), respectively. For 2021 and 2022, the central bank projects GDP growth rate of 5% and 3.5%, respectively.
Where do Bank Stocks Stand Now?
Powell said, “We're not even thinking about thinking about raising rates.” This came as a big blow to bank stocks.
Following these developments, 10-year Treasury yields witnessed the biggest daily drop in almost two months. Also, the finance sector indexes like KBW Nasdaq Bank Index, SPDR KBW Regional Banking (KRE) and S&P Banks Select Industry Index plunged more than 6%, with bank stocks including JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America ending the day in red.
Decline in treasury yields hurts banks’ profitability as narrower spread between long-term and short-term rates hampers net interest margin growth. Also, with the economic slowdown, demand for loans will likely remain muted. Thus, banks’ net interest income (NII) growth will likely be muted as well.
The near-zero interest rates will hurt banks’ net interest margins (NIM). Banks earn net interest income by charging borrowers higher long-term interest rates, while doling out smaller interest rates to depositors. This results in an improvement in NIM. However, with growth in NII expected to get hampered, NIM will continue to contract.
With banks already facing higher delinquency rates mainly due to the virus outbreak, which hit all sectors hard, the Fed’s accommodative stance is a bad news.
Banks’ financials that depend on the health of the economy will be hurt. Therefore, banks’ earnings, which remained at record levels amid improving economy and higher interest rates, are likely to be adversely impacted this year.
Should You Stay Away From Banks?
Over the past decade, several operating efficiency strengthening measures and stringent regulatory capital requirements have made banks fundamentally stronger. Banks have moved away from risky operations and are now focused on strengthening core businesses.
A conservative lending policy, higher interest rates, strong balance sheet position and improving economy support the banks’ performance. Last year was one of the strongest growth years for banks since the financial crisis, despite the Fed cutting rates thrice to support the economy during the U.S.-China trade war.
Global diversification and changing mix to focus more on other revenue sources, along with technological upgrades are expected to continue supporting banks’ profitability. Also, there has been a rise in consolidation efforts among the industry players.
No doubt, near-zero rates are here to stay. But you can bet on banking stocks that are fundamentally strong and have long-term prospects. At the same time, keep your eyes open to near-term factors as well.
5 Stocks Set to Double
Each was hand-picked by a Zacks expert as the #1 favorite stock to gain +100% or more in 2020. Each comes from a different sector and has unique qualities and catalysts that could fuel exceptional growth.
Most of the stocks in this report are flying under Wall Street radar, which provides a great opportunity to get in on the ground floor.
Today, See These 5 Potential Home Runs >>
Media Contact
Zacks Investment Research
800-767-3771 ext. 9339
support@zacks.com
http://www.zacks.com
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit http://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.