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Mark Vickery

After Big Gains, Is a "Santa Claus Rally" Possible?

Any Santa Claus rally from here would likely be a resuming of bullish narratives followed over the past couple weeks.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Bring on Santa! Economic Prints (Mostly) Favorable

After Q3 GDP, jobless claims and Philly Fed, results in the markets have been to drive higher while yield rates on 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds have been falling.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Economic Data Supports Fed Positivity

We appear to be on the other side of the mountain, and market participants are rejoicing.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

BLS Shows 199K New Jobs; Unemployment Down to 3.7%

This 199K figure is roughly in the median of the past several months, which had been roughly double during the Great Reopening period.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Lululemon, Broadcom Beat After-Hours; Jobs Report Tomorrow

Tomorrow morning is the big Employment Situation report, expected to bring in 190K new jobs for November.

ADPPositive Net Change LULUPositive Net Change AVGOPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobless Claims Cool Week Over Week; Pre-Markets Up

After seeing last week's headline Continuing Claims spike up north of 1.9 million, today's number is back down to 1.861 million.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

ADP 103K, Productivity +5.2%: Goldilocks-Adjacent

At roughly 100K private-sector job gains per month, we're still on track for a soft landing in the overall economy.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

JOLTS Data Tame, Most Indices See Profits Booked

JOLTS results came in lower than expected: 8.7 million domestic job openings fell -617K from the previous month's downwardly revised 9.4 million.

TOLPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Stay Negative Ahead of JOLTS Report

Today marks the start of so-called "Jobs Week," with Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for October out at 10 am ET.

ADPPositive Net Change AZONegative Net Change TOLPositive Net Change

John Blank

Can Festive "Risk-On" Cheer Continue? Global Week Ahead

"Risk-on" cheer came early to world markets. Has a year-end Santa Claus stock and bond market rally already happened?

PINSPositive Net Change VRTPositive Net Change PLTRNegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Lower Ahead of Big Jobs Week

Without predicting any surprises one way or another, jobs data is expected to remain overall complimentary to a good economy.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Big Inflation Data Morning: PCE, Income & Spending, Jobless Claims

PCE is behaving as well as can be expected, spending and income remain reasonably OK, but longer-term joblessness appears to be a developing economic headwind.

QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobless Claims, Durable Goods, Deere Q4 Earnings All Drop

New jobless claims for last week dropped to 209K -- 20K fewer than analysts were looking for.

DEPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Long-Term Jobless Claims Highest in 2 Years; Walmart Meets, Macy's Beats

Continuing Claims rose for the eighth-straight week, to 1.865 million from a slight downward revision.

MSFTPositive Net Change MPositive Net Change WMTPositive Net Change METANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Pre-Markets Strong on Higher Bond Rates, Mixed Earnings

While this positive sentiment is welcome, we note bond yield rates going higher this morning.

AZNPositive Net Change TPRPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobs Cut in Half to 150K; Unemployment +3.9%

Today's headline BLS number is 150K, below the 170-180K expected, and well below the downwardly revised 297K the previous month.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Up Big Again; Apple (AAPL) Beats Modestly

Bond yield rates came down notably from their multi-year highs, with the 2-year back below 5% and the 10-year down to 4.663%.

AAPLPositive Net Change EXPEPositive Net Change BKNGPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobless Claims, Q3 Productivity Up - So Are the Pre-Markets

Much of what we see up on major indices this morning came after much of this economic data was reported.

ADPPositive Net Change SBUXPositive Net Change CROXPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

ADP Jobs +113K Lower than Expected; Fed at 2pm

This means we're still creating more than the amount of monthly private-sector jobs the economy needs to offset retiring Baby Boomers.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Q3 GDP +4.9%, Earnings Beats for UPS, Bristol Myers and Honeywell

In the preliminary Q3 GDP print, consumer spending jumped to +4.0% while private domestic investment roared ahead +8.4%.

AMZNPositive Net Change INTCPositive Net Change FPositive Net Change BMYPositive Net Change HONPositive Net Change UPSPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Q3 Earnings Mixed, Big Results Expected After-Hours

The Dow is the sole major index in the green this morning, boosted by Microsoft's strong performance yesterday afternoon.

BAPositive Net Change AAPLPositive Net Change IBMPositive Net Change ADPPositive Net Change TMOPositive Net Change NOWPositive Net Change METANegative Net Change

Mark Vickery

Jobs Numbers Double to 336K on Low Wage Growth

Yes, folks - the "good news is bad news" scenario is not dead yet.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Just Miss Closing in the Green

Tomorrow's Employment Situation is the biggest economic news event of the week, and we hold out hope it may have a positive effect on Friday's trading.

NVDAPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change LEVIPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Initial, Continuing Jobless Claims Down Again

What we continue to see is overall strength, even if private-sector payrolls yesterday melted down to sub-100K for the first time in quite a while.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change

Mark Vickery

Markets Close in the Green; Services Prints Modest

Even though it was a little topsy-turvy on the indices, all four majors finished in the green.

ADPPositive Net Change QQQPositive Net Change SPYPositive Net Change DIAPositive Net Change